XRP Price Prediction for May 12: Will the Bull Flag Breakout Hold Above $2.35?

The XRP price today is trading near $2.37 after a sharp breakout earlier this week that pushed it above the long-standing descending trendline. This breakout came following multiple rejections around the $2.15–$2.20 area and was accompanied by a surge in volume—indicating strong buyer conviction. A clean bullish flag structure has emerged on the 4-hour chart, with price now hovering near the midline of the channel and attempting to form higher lows above $2.34.

What’s Happening With XRP’s Price? Bullish Breakout Tests Channel Resistance

On the daily chart, XRP broke above its April trendline and re-entered the $2.35–$2.45 consolidation zone. This level previously served as both support and resistance during multiple testing phases earlier in Q1. The breakout candle on May 9 was aggressive, with price jumping nearly 15% in a single session and setting off the latest XRP price spikes.

However, price action has turned cautious near $2.47 as bears defended the upper boundary of the flag. A rejection from that level has led to minor retracement—but XRP price volatility remains elevated, keeping traders focused on short-term support zones.

XRP Price Action Near Key EMAs as RSI and MACD Turn Neutral

The 4-hour Bollinger Bands remain wide, and XRP is currently attempting to hold above the 20-EMA near $2.34. Price also rests between the 50-EMA ($2.27) and the psychological $2.30 handle. A breakdown below $2.30 would expose downside risk toward $2.15, but if bulls maintain momentum above the current region, XRP could challenge the $2.47–$2.50 resistance again.

Looking at indicators, the RSI on the 30-minute chart has cooled to 41.8 after nearing overbought territory during the breakout. This shows a pause in bullish strength but no sharp reversal yet. Meanwhile, MACD on the same timeframe shows weakening bullish momentum, with the signal line slightly crossing above the MACD line. These signals suggest that the immediate uptrend is pausing, and a minor consolidation or retest could unfold before another push.

The broader XRP price update shows a favorable trend on higher timeframes. On the weekly chart, XRP is holding comfortably above the 0.5 Fibonacci retracement ($1.91) and approaching the 0.382 level at $2.26. A weekly close above $2.30 would be a strong bullish confirmation and may open the path toward $2.69, which is the 0.236 Fib resistance and a major long-term barrier.

Why XRP Price Going Down Today? Or Is This Just a Healthy Pullback?

While XRP price briefly slipped from $2.47 to $2.34 in the past 24 hours, this drop is more likely a healthy retracement within a bullish continuation setup rather than a reversal. The sell-off found demand near the midline of the flag channel and above the 20-EMA, with no breach of prior breakout structure.

Volume on the retracement is lower compared to the breakout candle, and the Bollinger Bands remain expanding. These are generally signs of ongoing strength. For now, the answer to why XRP price going down today is simple: profit-taking after a parabolic move. Until $2.30 breaks on high volume, the bullish case remains intact.

That said, any sharp rejection from $2.47 again could trigger a retest of $2.20 and possibly $2.05. Conversely, a breakout above $2.47 will likely bring quick moves to $2.69–$2.75, aligning with upper channel resistance and the February swing high.

Final Outlook and Forecast Table for May 12

Heading into May 12, traders will watch closely whether XRP consolidates above $2.34 and re-tests $2.47. Momentum remains with the bulls, especially if the market sentiment remains risk-on and Bitcoin holds its gains above $65,000. The technical structure favors continued upside unless XRP drops below $2.30.

For earlier insights into this breakout structure, refer to our May 10 XRP forecast where we discussed the critical breakout zone at $2.20 and the trendline pivot.

XRP Price Forecast Table – May 12 Outlook