XRP (XRP) Price Prediction for May 16

The XRP price today is trading near $2.49 after rejecting from the $2.65 resistance zone earlier this week. This pullback follows a sharp rally from the sub-$2.20 levels, placing XRP in a short-term correction phase as bullish momentum appears to fade. The price action shows signs of consolidation between the $2.48 and $2.65 range — a structure that may decide whether XRP resumes its climb or retreats toward deeper support.

The 4-hour chart confirms this rejection, with price now forming lower highs beneath a descending trendline. On the higher timeframes, XRP remains above its long-term breakout trend from early May, which emerged after breaking past the $2.20–$2.30 resistance zone.

XRP Price Action Shows Bearish Divergence Across Lower Timeframes

Looking at the 30-minute chart, XRP price action has weakened considerably after failing to hold above $2.60. RSI now hovers at 32.1, signaling oversold conditions on the intraday scale. Meanwhile, MACD remains negative with widening histogram bars, reflecting continued bearish pressure.

The short-term structure has broken below the $2.50 support band, a level that previously acted as a demand zone throughout May 13–14. This makes the $2.48–$2.50 level a critical pivot — a breakdown below which could open the gates for a retest of $2.40.

The red resistance zones between $2.54 and $2.65 remain key ceilings. Unless XRP breaks back above $2.54 with volume, it is likely to remain trapped in a downward-sloping channel on the intraday charts.

Why XRP Price Going Down Today?

The core reason why XRP price going down today is tied to both technical rejection and momentum exhaustion. After the explosive move above $2.20, XRP entered overbought territory, which triggered profit-taking around the $2.65 zone. This area aligns with the upper Bollinger Band on the 4-hour chart and the Ichimoku Cloud resistance, making it a natural rejection point.

Currently, Stochastic RSI on the 4H chart has dropped to 8.6 — a deeply oversold reading — hinting at a potential bounce. However, Ichimoku Cloud shows a narrowing twist ahead, and XRP has just slipped beneath the Tenkan-Sen (blue line), indicating short-term weakness.

Key Support Zones to Watch in XRP Price Update

Zooming out to the daily chart, XRP price remains above the long-term trendline support that began forming in April. That trendline currently sits near $2.30 and is reinforced by a horizontal support block between $2.30 and $2.36. These levels are crucial for maintaining XRP’s higher low structure on the daily timeframe.

The Fibonacci retracement chart on the weekly scale shows XRP rejecting below the 0.618 level — typically a strong reversal zone. Until the token reclaims $2.65 and closes above it on higher timeframes, the upward momentum remains at risk of fading.

On the downside, a close below $2.48 may lead to a pullback toward $2.40 and then $2.30, where EMA100 and historical liquidity zones intersect. On the flip side, a bounce from current levels followed by a breakout above $2.54 could open the path to revisit $2.65 and challenge $2.70–$2.74 next.

XRP Price Forecast Table for May 16

XRP’s near-term outlook hinges on the $2.48–$2.50 support zone. If buyers defend this area and reclaim $2.54, the next XRP price update could reflect a move back toward $2.65. However, failure to hold support may expose the price to deeper retracement zones. Traders should closely monitor Stoch RSI recovery and price reaction to the 20/50 EMA zones on the 4-hour chart for confirmation.