- Bitcoin is still in a bull market but moving more slowly now.
- This cycle had the longest post-halving reaccumulation phase yet.
- Upside to $130K–$150K is possible, but risk of correction grows.
Bitcoin’s bull run is still alive, but it’s taking a slower and more deliberate path this time around, according to a market update from analyst Rekt Capital, where it was explained how Bitcoin moves in clear cycles, with periods of strong rallies, quiet consolidations, and occasional pullbacks before it finally reaches a peak.
Interestingly, this current cycle saw one of the longest re-accumulation periods ever after the halving event, lasting nearly eight months. The longer than expected consolidation gave the Bitcoin market time to cool off after a period of rapid gains, bringing prices back in line with long-term trends. While Bitcoin did eventually climb to new highs, the move was much slower compared to past cycles.
Looking at the bigger picture, the analyst said that the risk of a market drop from current Bitcoin prices is starting to outweigh the remaining upside. While prices could still rise to $130,000, $140,000, or even $150,000, there’s also the risk of a 60-70% correction after the peak.
As the bull market nears its final phase with about 88% of the cycle already completed, the possibilities for further gains is shrinking, while the risk is increasing.
Related: Peter Schiff Rejects Bitcoin as Dollar Hedge, Says Gold Will Win in Times of Dollar Weakness
Bitcoin bull markets usually follow a pattern, peaking about 550 days after a halving. If history repeats, the market could top around October 2025. With only 2–3 months of likely upside left, most big gains are probably done. While some expect a longer cycle into 2026, the analyst said that sticking to the proven timeline is safer.
Bitcoin Short-Term Price Prediction
Bitcoin made a new local high today but not a new all-time high. Right now, it’s holding above a key trendline. As long as the price stays above $105,200, the bullish outlook remains intact.
If this support holds, Bitcoin could aim for the next resistance between $110,400 and $113,500. A clear break above $113,500 would open the door for a move toward $130,000.
Related: Bitcoin and Ethereum Erase Q1 Losses With a 30% and 36% Gain in Q2 2025
In the short term, a small pullback is possible, but as long as the price stays above $107,280, there’s no sign of a local top yet. The overall trend is still positive, with higher prices likely in the coming weeks.
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