After weeks of accumulation, Ethereum price today is pressing into a crucial resistance zone near $2,640, a level that has consistently capped upside attempts since early June. The broader structure shows bullish intent, but a clear breakout above this supply zone is needed to confirm a trend continuation.
What’s Happening With Ethereum’s Price?
The Ethereum price action is approaching the apex of a large symmetrical triangle, visible on the daily chart. ETH is currently priced at $2,623.83, with intraday highs extending to $2,646.02. The structure has been coiling since April, with price consistently posting higher lows against horizontal resistance — forming what appears to be an ascending triangle within a broader consolidation phase.
Volume is rising gradually, and price continues to hold above the Bull Market Support Band (20-week SMA and EMA), currently between $2,194.90 and $2,407.89. This structure reinforces the mid-term bullish thesis.
Smart Money Concept analysis shows multiple recent CHoCHs and BOS confirmations near $2,580–$2,600, adding weight to the current breakout attempt. ETH is also pushing through a minor liquidity pocket, suggesting supply absorption underway.
Why Ethereum Price Going Up Today?
The answer to why Ethereum price going up today lies in bullish confluence across both price structure and sentiment metrics.
On the 4-hour chart, ETH remains above all key EMAs (20/50/100/200), with the EMA20 at $2,574 acting as near-term dynamic support. Bollinger Bands are expanding, with price testing the upper band near $2,633 which is a sign of increasing momentum and volatility.
The weekly Fibonacci retracement places ETH just below the 0.5 level at $2,745, with support confirmed near the 0.382 retracement at $2,424. ETH has now printed its second consecutive green weekly candle above $2,500 — another bullish signal.
Momentum indicators also support the breakout case. The Money Flow Index (MFI) on the 4-hour chart is rising at 66.69, indicating sustained capital inflow. The Chande Momentum Oscillator is above 50, showing upward momentum is accelerating.
On the 15-minute chart, ETH appears to be forming an ascending wedge pattern, with immediate resistance near $2,640. If bulls can break above this ceiling, the next test lies near $2,685–$2,715, a zone marked by strong historical selling pressure.
Derivatives and Volume Confirm Uptrend Intent
Derivatives data further highlights growing optimism. Ethereum open interest is up 7.44% to $36.29B, with options volume surging 47.66% to $750.75M. Daily volume has increased nearly 10% to $58.88B. Binance top trader long/short ratios are above 2.77, showing long dominance.
The ETH OI-weighted funding rate remains positive (0.0023%) as of July 9, confirming that longs are paying a premium to maintain position — a typical signal of bullish sentiment.
Additionally, ETH is trading near the median of its ascending pitchfork channel on the 4-hour chart. A clean break above the R3 pivot ($2,643.41) would align with the channel’s upper trendline, opening a path toward the next resistance band near $2,715–$2,745.
Ethereum Price Prediction: Short-Term Outlook (24h)
In the next 24 hours, Ethereum price will be heavily influenced by whether bulls can close decisively above $2,640. If confirmed with volume, the next resistance lies at $2,715 (R4) followed by $2,745 (Fib 0.5). A breakout above that could aim for $2,852–$2,900.
On the downside, if ETH fails to hold above $2,600, a retest of $2,574 (EMA20) and $2,510 (EMA100) is likely. Below this zone, further support lies near $2,424 (Fib 0.382) and $2,384 (former breakout base).
With momentum, funding, and market structure aligned, the near-term outlook remains bullish, but a rejection at $2,640 would delay the breakout and trigger short-term consolidation.
Ethereum Price Forecast Table: July 10, 2025
| Indicator/Zone | Level / Signal |
| Ethereum price today | $2,623.83 |
| Resistance 1 | $2,640 (ascending wedge top) |
| Resistance 2 | $2,715 (R4 pivot) |
| Support 1 | $2,574 (EMA20) |
| Support 2 | $2,510 (EMA100) |
| Bull Market Support Band | $2,194.90 – $2,407.89 (Weekly) |
| MFI (4H) | 66.69 (rising inflow) |
| ChandeMO (4H) | 51.01 (positive momentum) |
| Bollinger Bands (4H) | Expanding, price near upper band |
| Fibonacci Resistance | $2,745 (Fib 0.5) |
| Pitchfork Median Line | Near current price, breakout zone |
| Funding Rate (OI-Weighted) | +0.0023% (bullish) |
| Derivatives OI | $36.29B (+7.44%) |
| Binance Top Traders Ratio | 2.77 (long-heavy bias) |
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