Don’t Be Fooled by Cheap ETH Gas; Look at the Exchange Balances Instead

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News and on-chain analysis of Ethereum (ETH), showing conflicting signals between low gas fees and a shrinking ETH exchange supply, hinting at a supply shock.
  • Ethereum gas fees have plummeted to just 0.528 gwei, the lowest in recent weeks.
  • Exchange balances for ETH have fallen to a multi-year low of under 19.5 million.
  • 88% of ETH protocols have generated zero revenue in the past 30 days.

The Ethereum network is sending deeply conflicting signals this week. On one hand, network activity has ground to a near halt, with gas fees plunging to rock-bottom levels. On the other, a looming “supply shock” on exchanges could be setting the stage for an explosive rally. 

Gas Fees Collapse as Activity Dries Up

As of July 24, Ethereum’s gas fees have dropped to a remarkably low 0.528 gwei, a level not seen in weeks.

Source: EtherScan

The average cost to perform a token swap now sits at just $1.38, with NFT sales averaging $2.32. These ultra-low fees suggest a severe drop in on-chain demand, with fewer users competing for block space.

Related: Ethereum (ETH) Price Prediction for July 25

88% of Ethereum DeFi protocols generated zero revenue

Backing up the on-chain lull is a damning stat from DeFiLlama. 88% of all Ethereum-based protocols generated no revenue in the past 30 days. That’s 1,121 out of 1,271 projects operating like ghost towns, active in code, but not in user engagement.

Even Ethereum’s fast-rising rival, Solana, isn’t immune. Of its 264 protocols, 75% have seen zero recent revenue. 

ETH Supply Shock Nobody Is Talking About

According to trader Marlijn, Ethereum exchange balances have dropped below 19.5 million ETH, marking a new multi-year low. Marlijn stated on X:

“While price surges… supply vanishes. The mechanics are simple: Less Ethereum on exchanges = less to sell,”

Marlijn is not wrong. A shrinking exchange supply often precedes price spikes, as fewer tokens available for market sale means buyers must fight over a thinner float. 

Related: For the First Time in Two Years, More Money Is Trading Ethereum Than Bitcoin

While Ethereum may look weak on the surface due to low fees and dead protocols, this underlying supply dynamic could catch many bears off guard.

Disclaimer: The information presented in this article is for informational and educational purposes only. The article does not constitute financial advice or advice of any kind. Coin Edition is not responsible for any losses incurred as a result of the utilization of content, products, or services mentioned. Readers are advised to exercise caution before taking any action related to the company.


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