- Analyst Dan Gambardello says the post-QT market correction is almost complete.
- Rare monthly RSI reset and better liquidity set up for assets like ETH, ADA, and SUI.
- Strong technicals and improving fundamentals point to a crypto recovery phase.
Analyst Dan Gambardello said on Wednesday that the crypto correction is ending as technical indicators signal a rare bullish reset. With global liquidity expanding, the market has reached a high-conviction inflection point, with Ethereum (ETH), Cardano (ADA), and SUI (SUI) showing compressed setups primed for an imminent, synchronized breakout.
Post-QT Crypto Correction Nearing End
According to analyst Dan Gambardello, the aggressive corrective dip following the recent Quantitative Tightening (QT) period has finally exhausted its downward momentum. He notes that leading indicators, such as ISM PMI composites, have bottomed and begun turning higher, a shift that historically signals the start of risk-on rotations.
Gambardello highlights that the monthly Relative Strength Index (RSI) on major crypto market indices and leading altcoins has reached deeply oversold territory. He explains that this reset mirrors prior cycle capitulations, when prolonged QT-induced liquidity drain caused multi-standard-deviation exhaustion.
This is not casual optimism, as it’s based on aligned macro and technical signals, reflecting historical post-QT patterns such as the late 2018 and 2022 bear lows and the 2019 QT unwind analog, which preceded one of the strongest risk-on phases, suggesting crypto may be entering a high-conviction recovery stage.
Gambardello points out that seller exhaustion is evident in sentiment peaks, stabilization in the funding rate, and on-chain indicators, all hallmarks of the final liquidity vacuum phase following the end of QT in late 2025.
Monthly RSI Reset Sparks Breakout Potential
Gambardello observes that the current reading reflects the prolonged liquidity drain from QT, which ended in late 2025, combined with temporary fear factors such as tariffs, geopolitics, and oil. He notes that this has triggered widespread seller capitulation.
Specific altcoins are exhibiting “coiled” price structures, characterized by tight trading ranges and high potential energy. Gambardello highlights that ETH, ADA, and SUI are exhibiting extreme volatility compression with their tightest Bollinger Band Width and ATR ranges ever, with a monthly RSI reset positioning them for outsized expansion once momentum returns.
For example, ETH has testing cycle-adjusted support with accumulating ETF inflows, Cardano has multi-year risk/reward extremes mirroring 2019, and SUI has robust ecosystem metrics suppressed by price-created asymmetry, signaling strong breakout potential.
Therefore, for holders or accumulators of ETH, ADA, SUI, or similar coiled profiles, the monthly RSI reset signals a historically favorable market inflection. Short-term volatility may persist, but data indicate the corrective phase is ending and the next growth cycle is approaching.
What It Means for Investors and Crypto Markets
The monthly RSI reset across ETH, ADA, and SUI, combined with historically compressed Bollinger Bands and ATR ranges, signals a favorable market breakout.
Post-QT liquidity normalization, accumulating ETF inflows, and coiled technical setups suggest patient holders could benefit from potential breakout moves, while short-term volatility may persist. This window offers compelling asymmetry for dollar-cost averaging or strategic buys near structural lows.
Seller exhaustion, visible in sentiment extremes, funding rate stabilization, and on-chain metrics, reduces near-term downside conviction, while expanding business-cycle indicators, such as rising ISM PMI provide strong fundamental tailwinds.
Related: Ethereum Price Prediction: BitMine Accelerates Accumulation Near Cycle Bottom
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