After a week of ups and downs, the price of Bitcoin is settling down near $115,400. It had trouble getting past the $120,000 resistance zone. Sellers stopped the most recent breakout attempt, sending BTC back into its rising channel structure. At the same time, bulls are trying to keep demand levels around $114,000–$115,000 strong. The way things are set up right now shows a fight between taking short-term profits and the overall bullish momentum that stays strong above the $112,300–$113,000 base.
Bitcoin Price Forecast Table: August 20, 2025
| Indicator/Zone | Level / Signal |
| Bitcoin price today | $115,428 |
| Resistance 1 | $117,500 |
| Resistance 2 | $119,500–$120,000 |
| Support 1 | $114,000 |
| Support 2 | $112,300 |
| Major Demand Zone | $108,000–$109,000 |
| EMA Cluster (4H) | $116,400–$117,500 (Bearish Stack) |
| Bollinger Bands (4H) | Tightening, volatility expected |
| Supertrend (4H) | Bearish under $117,900 |
| DMI | -DI leads, ADX rising to 32 |
| Netflow (Aug 19) | -$60.1M (bearish pressure) |
What’s Happening With Bitcoin’s Price?
On the daily chart, BTC remains inside an ascending channel, but price has pulled back from the upper band near $120,000. The rejection aligned with a weak high confirmation, leaving the market vulnerable to a retest of mid-channel supports. Strong demand lies at $112,300 and $114,300, levels that have repeatedly attracted buyers over the past month.
The volume profile analysis shows that there are a lot of bids between $113,000 and $115,000, which makes this range an important pivot point. The Chaikin Money Flow on the 4-hour chart has gone below zero, which means that money is leaving the market, but it isn’t bad enough yet to break the trend structure.
Why Is The Bitcoin Price Going Down Today?
The reason behind why Bitcoin price going down today stems from repeated failures to clear the $120,000 resistance band. Price action has formed equal highs near $119,500–$120,000 before a change of character (CHoCH) shifted momentum lower. This aligns with heavy supply absorption at the top of the channel, suggesting profit-taking by whales.
Spot netflow data supports this view, showing over $60 million in outflows on August 19. The move coincided with BTC’s pullback from $116,800 to $115,400, highlighting how exchange flows are influencing short-term volatility.
Indicators Signal Mixed Bias Around $115K
The 4-hour EMAs (20/50/100/200) are all very close together, between $116,400 and $117,500. BTC is now trading below them. This bearish stack shows that bulls need to get back above $116,800 to get things moving again. The Bollinger Bands are getting tighter after a big expansion at the beginning of the month. This means that volatility is building up and could lead to a big move in one direction.
Directional Movement Index (DMI) readings show the -DI leading above +DI, with ADX rising toward 32, pointing to a strengthening bearish bias. At the same time, liquidity zones mapped by Smart Money Concepts highlight untested demand blocks at $112,500 and deeper at $109,000. Also, the Supertrend indicator flipped bearish at $117,900 on the 4-hour chart, adding another technical headwind for bulls in the immediate term.
Still, BTC remains well above its broader support structure near $100,000–$102,000, where the 200-day EMA and prior breakout zone converge. As long as this zone holds, the macro uptrend remains intact despite near-term weakness.
BTC Price Prediction: Short-Term Outlook (24H)
For the next 24 hours, Bitcoin price today is likely to trade within a compression band between $114,000 and $117,000. A breakout above $117,500 with volume confirmation could open the door for another retest of $119,500–$120,000. Beyond this, a clean break would expose $123,700 and potentially $127,000 as the next upside targets.
On the downside, if BTC loses $114,000, the next major support lies at $112,300, followed by $111,000. A decisive breakdown below these levels risks dragging price back toward the $108,000–$109,000 demand cluster.
Given mixed momentum signals, traders should closely monitor whether BTC can defend $115K support or risk a deeper correction into the $112K zone.
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