Bitcoin closed June near $107,700 after bouncing strongly from sub-$100K support earlier in the month. As July begins, the Bitcoin price today is testing a key supply area between $108,000 and $110,000, raising expectations of a potential breakout if bulls maintain pressure.
Bitcoin Price Prediction for July 2025
The monthly outlook for Bitcoin price suggests an upward bias as long as the $104,000–$106,000 region holds as support. Multiple trendline breaks in June have shifted short-term structure bullish, and BTC has reclaimed the 20/50/100 EMAs. Notably, the 20-day EMA ($106,144) is now trending upward, adding strength to the current setup.
Price remains below the red order block near $110,500, which has been tested multiple times. A clean breakout above $110,000 could open the gates toward $114,500 and potentially $125,000.
BTC Price Indicators, Signals, and Charts (1M)
The Relative Strength Index (RSI 14) is currently hovering around 56.38 and is gradually rising, reflecting moderate bullish momentum without signaling overbought conditions. This suggests that there is still room for further upside if bullish pressure continues to build through early July.
The MACD (12, 26) has recently confirmed a bullish crossover, with the histogram turning positive for the first time in several sessions. This shift in momentum favors buyers and could support a continued upward move, especially if volume accompanies the breakout attempts above resistance.
Bollinger Bands are beginning to expand again, with Bitcoin now pushing toward the upper band near the $109,000 level. This widening of the bands indicates a rise in volatility, often preceding strong directional moves. If BTC can hold near the band’s edge, a volatility-driven breakout is plausible.
In terms of moving averages, BTC remains well-positioned above all major EMAs. The 20-day EMA at $106,144 and the 50-day EMA at $104,162 have emerged as critical short-term support zones. These levels may serve as buffers during any pullbacks and could reinforce the broader bullish bias if defended.
Lastly, liquidity and smart money concepts (SMC) indicate a reclaim of bullish BOS and CHoCH zones on the daily timeframe. However, a visible liquidity gap remains below $100,000, while the sell-side liquidity between $112,000 and $115,000 continues to act as a magnet. Price movement around these zones will be pivotal in determining July’s directional bias.
What to Expect From Bitcoin Price This Month
In July 2025, the Bitcoin price action may remain within a $104,000–$112,000 range early in the month as the market consolidates under the supply zone. However, if bulls can push through the weak high and daily imbalance near $108,700–$110,000, a breakout run toward $114,500 or higher may unfold swiftly.
On the downside, a failed breakout attempt could trap late buyers, triggering a retracement to the $103,000–$104,000 demand zone. If this level breaks, the broader mid-range demand at $98,000–$100,000 could be revisited.
Can Bitcoin Price Hit $115,000 This Month?
If the $110,000 resistance is broken with volume and daily closes above the upper Bollinger Band, BTC could realistically target the $114,500–$115,000 zone, which aligns with both the R4 pivot and previous highs. The rally could extend toward the $125,000 Fibonacci extension, but that would require strong macro tailwinds and liquidity sweep beyond current highs.
However, a rejection below $110K would keep BTC stuck in a consolidation range, possibly delaying the next leg up until August.
Conclusion
The Bitcoin price prediction for July 2025 leans bullish with a breakout bias, supported by EMA alignment, bullish MACD crossover, and recent liquidity structure shifts. Holding above $104,000 is key. A push through $110,000 could ignite a new leg toward $114,500 and $125,000.
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