The Cardano price is stable around $0.812 today, just below a group of resistance at $0.825. It has been rising since early August, when it was near $0.70. Supertrend and EMA signals for the short term have turned bullish again, but net outflows and an unbroken daily downtrend line are keeping momentum in check until the next session.
Cardano (ADA) Price Forecast Table: August 12, 2025
| Indicator/Zone | Level / Signal |
| Current price | $0.8126 |
| Resistance 1 | $0.825 (0.382 level and upper band) |
| Resistance 2 | $0.921 (0.50 level) |
| Support 1 | $0.7988 (20-period EMA, 4H) |
| Support 2 | $0.7805 (50-period EMA, 4H) |
| 20-period EMA (4H) | $0.7988 |
| 50-period EMA (4H) | $0.7805 |
| 100-period EMA (4H) | $0.7733 |
| 200-period EMA (4H) | $0.7543 |
| RSI (30-min) / MFI (Daily) | 44.37 / 50.33 |
| MACD status (4H) | Mild bullish, low ADX trend |
| Supertrend (4H) | Bullish above $0.7595 |
| VWAP (30-min) | $0.8198 |
| Pattern | Daily downtrend line test |
| Liquidity zones | Above $0.825 on the buy side; below $0.798 and $0.780 on the sell side |
What’s Happening With Cardano’s Price?
ADA is bouncing back from the $0.705 level on the weekly chart, which is where the 0.236 retracement is. Price is moving toward the $0.825 area, which is the same as the 0.382 mark. If it breaks through that shelf, there will be room for $0.921 at the 0.50 level and $1.018 at the 0.618 level. The big picture stays positive as long as $0.705 holds.
On the daily view, the price is pushing against a line that goes down from the highs of 2025. That line is still keeping rallies from going up. The Money Flow Index is at 50.33, which means that there is no pressure after the bounce. The main daily support is around $0.50, which is where buyers came in in the first quarter of 2025.
Why Cardano Price Going Down Today?
ADA is trading above Supertrend support at $0.7595 on the 4-hour chart, and the next stop on that tool is $0.7604. The Directional Movement Index shows +DI at 21.1974, -DI at 19.2918, and ADX at 13.9298. That mix is good for buyers, but there isn’t a strong trend yet.
Bollinger Bands on 4-hour are moderately opened. The upper band sits at $0.8245, the lower at $0.7825, and the center line around $0.7988 overlaps the 20-period EMA, which is first dynamic support. Below it sit the 50-period at $0.7805, the 100-period at $0.7733, and the 200-period at $0.7543. Together they form a layered base under spot.
Spot netflow on August 11 printed negative $5.40M. That points to some profit taking or rotation by larger holders after last week’s rise.
Cardano Price Analysis: RSI, Volume, and Liquidity Considerations
Drop to the 30-minute chart and VWAP comes in at $0.8198 while price is just below at $0.8124. RSI has eased from 55.67 to 44.37, which shows intraday sellers pressing back after the bounce.
Liquidity resting above $0.825 is still uncollected. Below price, pools sit around $0.798 and $0.780. A decisive move through either pocket can speed the next leg toward the closest technical target.
ADA Price Prediction: Short-term Outlook (24h)
If buyers force a 4-hour close above $0.825, which aligns with the 0.382 mark and the upper Bollinger band, the break would likely extend toward $0.921. If volume expands, a stretch toward $1.018 is possible. This view is invalidated on a close below $0.798 because losing the center band and the 20-period average would likely drag price into $0.780 and $0.773 retests.
If $0.798 gives way, focus shifts to $0.780 and $0.773 where the 50- and 100-period averages cluster. A failure through $0.754 would hand control back to sellers and expose $0.705. That bearish path would be invalid if price quickly reclaims $0.825 on strong participation, which would trap shorts.
Confidence: Medium. The higher-timeframe recovery is intact, but the daily trendline and recent outflows reduce near-term conviction.
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