- China retaliates, hiking tariffs on US goods to 84% as trade war escalates
- Markets (incl. crypto) recovered recently on news of 90-day pause on other tariffs
- Crypto market rally ignores specific US-China tariff hike, focusing on broader relief
The direct trade dispute between the United States and China escalated further Wednesday, even as broader market sentiment saw relief.
China announced an increase in tariffs on US goods to 84%, which is to take effect on April 10. This represents a direct response to President Donald Trump’s earlier imposition of a 104% tariff on Chinese imports. These tit-for-tat measures have intensified the ongoing trade war between the two largest global economies.
How Did Markets React to Conflicting News?
Interestingly, while specific US-China tensions worsened, broader financial markets, including crypto, showed slight recovery in the last 24 hours. The rally was in response to news reports from the White House announcing a 90-day pause on other planned US tariff hikes (not related to the active China tariffs).
Prior to this pause, Bitcoin briefly fell below $75,000 and Ethereum was testing levels near $1,400.
Compared to January, Bitcoin is now down by about 30%, and the whole cryptocurrency market has lost approximately $1.2 trillion since early February. Currently, however, market sentiment has improved, with Bitcoin trading around $82,280 (up roughly 8.5% in 24 hours at time of writing) and Ethereum near $1,600.
China’s retaliation, as one might expect, also led to immediate volatility across financial markets in general. US stock index futures saw sharp drops earlier in the week before the tariff pause news spurred a recovery. European and Asian markets had also faced declines reflecting initial concerns over escalating global trade tensions.
What Are the Broader Economic Concerns?
The escalating tariff war between the US and China has raised concerns about a possible global economic slowdown. The International Monetary Fund has warned that such trade disputes could dampen global growth, increase inflation, and disrupt financial markets. In fact, a lot of big names in finance and CEOs shared similar thoughts, such as BlackRock’s CEO Larry Fink and Jamie Dimon, CEO of JPMorgan.
The effects of the tariff war can be seen everywhere as just earlier today, the 30-year US Treasury yield has witnessed an unparalleled 56 basis point increase over three days, adding additional concerns for financial analysts and investors.
With the core US-China trade dispute showing no signs of ending soon, caution is advised as the situation remains fluid and could have even more far-reaching implications for various assets.
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