- XRP remains bearish as price stays below major EMAs with persistent lower highs
- Declining open interest near $2.96B signals reduced speculation and weak demand
- Persistent spot outflows including $21.3M reinforce fragile sentiment for XRP now
XRP continued to face downside pressure this week as weak technical momentum and declining market participation limited recovery attempts. The token traded near $1.30 after losing support from several important moving averages.
XRP Struggles Below Major Resistance
The daily XRP/USD chart reflects a clear bearish structure after the asset failed to maintain strength above the $1.48 to $1.50 region. Since reaching a local high in May, XRP has produced consecutive lower highs and lower lows. Consequently, short-term sentiment weakened across both spot and derivatives markets.
XRP currently trades below the 20-day, 50-day, 100-day, and 200-day exponential moving averages. This setup signals that sellers still control the broader trend. Additionally, the recent rebound from the $1.25 support area failed to attract strong follow-through buying.
The Supertrend indicator also maintains a bearish outlook. Resistance remains concentrated near $1.45, which continues to prevent larger recovery attempts. Hence, bulls need a stronger breakout before sentiment can improve meaningfully.
Immediate support sits between $1.30 and $1.28. If that region fails, traders may shift focus toward the key $1.25 swing low. A decisive breakdown below that level could expose XRP to deeper losses toward the $1.20 to $1.18 range.
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On the upside, XRP must first reclaim the $1.33 to $1.35 zone. After that, resistance near $1.38 could create another challenge because it aligns with the 50-day EMA and Fibonacci retracement levels.
Rückgang des offenen Interesses signalisiert reduzierte Spekulationen
Derivatives data showed a sharp decline in speculative activity compared to XRP’s strong rally phase in 2025. Open interest previously climbed above $10 billion when XRP surged toward the $3.50 area. However, market enthusiasm faded during the prolonged correction that followed.
Quelle: Coinglass
Open interest now stands near $2.96 billion while XRP trades close to $1.33. The stabilization around current levels suggests aggressive leveraged selling has cooled significantly. Nevertheless, the market still lacks evidence of renewed bullish conviction.
Additionally, lower open interest often reflects reduced trader participation and weaker momentum. Therefore, XRP may continue consolidating unless fresh capital returns to the futures market.
Spot Outflows Continue to Pressure XRP
Spot flow data also highlighted persistent selling activity between August 2025 and June 2026. During that period, the market recorded repeated outflows despite occasional inflow spikes above $50 million.
Quelle: Coinglass
The largest capital exit appeared in late November when outflows approached $175 million. Although conditions stabilized afterward, steady withdrawals continued through early 2026.
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Recent data showed XRP recorded roughly $21.3 million in net outflows on June 1. Consequently, market confidence remains fragile while investors continue reducing exposure near current price levels.
Technischer Ausblick für den XRP Kurs
Key levels remain clearly defined as XRP trades under pressure below major moving averages.
Upside levels: $1.33–$1.35 remains the first recovery zone, followed by $1.38 near the 50-day EMA and Fibonacci resistance. A sustained breakout above $1.45 could open the door toward $1.49 and potentially the $1.55 region.
Downside levels: $1.30–$1.28 serves as immediate support, while $1.25 remains the key swing-low defense zone. If sellers force a breakdown below $1.25, XRP could slide toward $1.20 and $1.18.
Resistance ceiling: The $1.44–$1.45 region remains the most important barrier for medium-term bullish momentum. This area aligns with the Supertrend resistance and the Fibonacci 0.618 retracement level.
The technical structure shows XRP trading inside a broader corrective trend after failing to hold above $1.50. Momentum indicators still favor sellers, although price stabilization near $1.30 suggests bearish pressure has started easing. Open interest stabilization near $2.96 billion also hints that leveraged selling has cooled compared to previous months.
Wird XRP steigen?
XRP price prediction now depends heavily on whether buyers can defend the $1.28–$1.30 support range. If bulls reclaim $1.38 with stronger volume and improving inflows, XRP could attempt a broader recovery toward $1.45 and $1.55. However, failure to maintain support above $1.25 would likely accelerate downside pressure and expose the market to deeper losses near $1.20.
For now, XRP remains in a decisive consolidation phase. Market flows continue showing cautious sentiment, but improving derivatives activity could become an early signal of renewed bullish momentum.
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