After an explosive rally that saw Ethereum price surge from the $1,800 breakout level to a 2025 high near $2,604, ETH is now showing signs of intraday exhaustion. The recent bullish momentum was fueled by a clean break above long-standing descending trendlines on both the 1D and 4H charts, along with a high-volume breakout from a symmetrical triangle formation seen on May 8.
On May 11, Ethereum price today retraced slightly to the $2,470–$2,480 zone, which aligns with the upper boundary of its prior consolidation range. This could now act as a short-term support if bulls remain in control. The Bollinger Bands on the 4H chart show price retreating after riding the upper band for two days, a sign of cooling Ethereum price action.
Ethereum Price Spikes, But Momentum Indicators Show Caution
The 30-minute chart reveals divergence in momentum. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) dropped to 39.4 from overbought levels near 80, suggesting a weakening buying force. Meanwhile, the MACD has turned bearish with a negative crossover, reinforcing the potential for a short-term cooldown.
On the weekly chart, Ethereum recently reclaimed the key Fibonacci 0.786 level at $2,075 and is attempting to reach the 0.618 retracement near $2,500. This area remains critical in determining the sustainability of the uptrend. If ETH can consolidate above $2,450 and reclaim $2,600, the next target would likely be the $2,800–$2,900 zone.
On the downside, the EMA structure on the 4H chart shows the 20-EMA at $2,304 and the 50-EMA at $2,094, both sharply ascending. These may act as dynamic supports in case of a deeper pullback. A failure to hold $2,450 may bring ETH back to retest $2,300 or even $2,100, which was the initial breakout base.
Why Ethereum Price Going Down Today?
The short-term pullback in Ethereum price today is part of a typical post-breakout structure where price revisits former resistance to test it as support. While this doesn’t signal a reversal yet, the lower timeframes suggest a temporary Ethereum price volatility spike that could lead to choppy movement before resumption of the upward leg.
However, the bigger picture remains bullish. Volume expansion during the breakout, alignment of higher EMAs, and reclaim of previous resistance levels show strong medium-term intent. But traders should be cautious of intraday fakeouts as the market digests recent Ethereum price spikes.
Ethereum Price Forecast Table – May 12 Outlook
| Key Level | Value (USD) | Significance |
| Intraday Resistance | 2,600 | Previous high / Fib 0.618 zone |
| Immediate Support | 2,470–2,450 | Recent breakout base |
| Major Support | 2,300 | EMA confluence zone (20/50 EMA) |
| Weekly Target (Bullish) | 2,800–2,900 | Next resistance band on 1D chart |
| RSI (30M) | 39.45 | Bearish divergence signal |
| MACD (30M) | Bearish | Recent crossover suggests caution |
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