Hedera Price Prediction: HBAR Gains Investor Momentum as ETF Launch Nears

• HBAR regains bullish momentum as prices reclaim key EMAs and break above $0.20
• Declining open interest signals healthier, spot-driven recovery for Hedera’s market
• Upcoming Hedera ETF listing expected to boost institutional demand and liquidity

Hedera (HBAR) appears to be regaining market strength after weeks of cautious trading, with renewed investor confidence visible across both spot and futures markets. The token has climbed to $0.21137, improving technical momentum and signaling the potential start of a sustained recovery phase. As investors await the debut of the Hedera exchange-traded fund (ETF) on the New York Stock Exchange, the market outlook continues to brighten, suggesting that HBAR may extend its upward trajectory into the final quarter of 2025.

Strengthening Fundamentals and Market Structure

HBAR’s price recovery follows a robust rebound from its October lows near $0.09, climbing over 120% in recent weeks. The token now trades above key exponential moving averages the 20, 50, 100, and 200 EMAs suggesting a decisive shift in trend direction. This alignment often signals a strong bullish setup, supported by improved trading volumes and renewed investor participation.

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Moreover, the 4-hour chart highlights that HBAR has reclaimed the $0.20 level, which had previously acted as heavy resistance. Sustaining closes above this zone could propel prices toward $0.23 and potentially $0.25. Conversely, any failure to hold the $0.19 support might trigger short-term corrections toward $0.18 or $0.16.

Open Interest and Derivatives Activity

Beyond spot price movement, Hedera’s derivatives data reflects shifting trader sentiment. Open interest, which had peaked above $500 million earlier in 2025 when HBAR neared $0.35, has since declined to $163.52 million. This reduction suggests a decrease in speculative leverage and a more organic, spot-driven market recovery. The cooling leverage may now provide a healthier foundation for sustained growth if demand continues to rise.

ETF Launch Expected to Amplify Buying Pressure

Adding to the bullish setup, Canary Capital is set to debut its Hedera and Litecoin spot ETFs on the New York Stock Exchange on Tuesday. The listing marks a milestone for HBAR, offering traditional investors direct exposure to the asset through regulated markets. Market observers believe the ETF debut could boost liquidity and enhance institutional adoption, echoing the positive sentiment seen with previous spot crypto ETF launches.

Additionally, Eric Balchunas, Bloomberg’s senior ETF analyst, has confirmed the exchange’s listing notices, alongside Bitwise’s Solana ETF, signaling broad market readiness. With multiple digital asset ETFs launching simultaneously, traders anticipate increased volatility and trading volumes across the broader crypto market.

Technical Outlook for Hedera Price

Key levels remain well-defined heading into November:

• Upside targets: $0.2134, $0.2333, and $0.2518 serve as immediate hurdles for bullish continuation. A decisive breakout above the 0.786 Fibonacci level at $0.2029 could extend the rally toward $0.28 in the coming sessions.
• Downside levels: $0.1919 (200 EMA) acts as initial support, followed by $0.1791 (0.618 retracement) and $0.1619. A drop below these zones could invite a deeper retest toward $0.1457, where historical buying interest remains active.
• Resistance ceiling: $0.2333 represents a critical resistance point aligning with a prior swing high. Flipping this level would confirm medium-term bullish momentum and potentially open the path to $0.25–$0.28.

Will Hedera Maintain Its Momentum?

Hedera’s price structure shows a strong bullish recovery following weeks of consolidation. The token’s ability to sustain above $0.20 remains vital for maintaining the upward bias. 

If momentum persists with higher trading volume, HBAR could retest $0.25 and extend toward $0.28 in November.

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 However, a daily close below $0.19 would weaken short-term confidence and risk revisiting lower support zones. For now, Hedera remains in a pivotal accumulation phase, with buyers closely defending key moving averages while anticipating continued strength.