- AI models are undecided over Bitcoin’s trend in 2026.
- Almost all AI solutions consider the $40,000 as Bitcoin’s ultimate support.
- A bull run could see Bitcoin reach $250,000-$300,000 in 2026.
Bitcoin hovers around the $76,000 price region after experiencing a near 20% pullback in the past month. The latest decline saw BTC testing support at $74,434, according to TradingView’s data, leaving crypto analysts uncertain whether the cryptocurrency will continue plunging downward or mount a rebound from the potential pivot.
Asking various AI models about the potential Bitcoin price trajectory for 2026 produced peculiar results. However, each AI model, including ChatGPT, Claude, Perplexity, and Grok, identified ETF inflows as a crucial factor that will influence the cryptocurrency’s behavior. They also cited macroeconomic and technical indicators as critical elements that could determine the cryptocurrency’s next price direction.
ChatGPT
According to ChatGPT, the key factors that could drive Bitcoin’s price in 2026 include institutional flows, macro conditions, and market cycles. The AI solution noted that increased adoption and regulatory clarity around Bitcoin ETFs could boost the cryptocurrency’s adoption and lead to a price rally.
Interest rates, liquidity, and global risk appetite are also expected to play major roles, alongside how market participants interpret the evolving Bitcoin 4-year cycle.
ChatGPT predicts that if the crypto winter persists, Bitcoin could drop to $40,000–$75,000. In a rangebound scenario, similar to November–January, the price may fluctuate between $75,000 and $110,000. In a typical bullish scenario, Bitcoin could rebound to $150,000–$200,000, with an extreme upside potential near $230,000.
Claude
Claude established that it is impossible to predict the exact price of Bitcoin in 2026, citing the influence of several unpredictable factors. Similar to ChatGPT, Claude AI identified global economic conditions, regulatory developments, institutional adoption, and technological progress in the crypto ecosystem as factors that affect Bitcoin’s price.
Nonetheless, the AI solution projected three possible scenarios, including a bear market that could see Bitcoin’s price crashing to between $30,000 and $50,000. According to Claude AI, a global recession, regulatory crackdowns, or loss of market trust could limit price appreciation or trigger a prolonged correction.
From a moderate perspective, Claude projects between $70,000 and $120,000 as Bitcoin’s potential mid-range. Noting that the cryptocurrency could stabilize as a “digital gold” asset with steady growth that is not motivated by speculation.
A bullish scenario will see Bitcoin rally to between $150,000 and $300,000. The AI solution considers continued institutional adoption in the form of ETFs, corporate treasuries, and sovereign interest as potential triggers for Bitcoin’s expected surge to record highs.
Perplexity
Perplexity focused its Bitcoin price prediction on the expert views of third-party platforms and individuals. However, the AI solution noted that opinions from analysts range between $75,000 and $225,000, driven by factors like ETF inflows, institutional adoption, and macroeconomic conditions.
Besides the identified range, Perplexity noted that most Bitcoin price forecasts clustered around $110,000 and $175,000 as an average target. However, lower predictions see support at $75,000-$80,000 as potential pullbacks. However, positive outcomes on regulatory clarity and interest rate cuts could trigger the move toward $200,000-$225,000.
The main platforms and analysts cited by Perplexity in its Bitcoin price prediction include InvestingHaven, Carol Alexander, Bit Mining, YouHolder, and Standard Chartered.
Grok
Grok noted that prevailing market conditions warrant extreme divergence in Bitcoin’s price prediction for the rest of 2026. According to the AI solution, the Bitcoin market is currently in a corrective phase after reaching a peak of around $126,000 in 2025. It presented multiple scenarios that could play out as events unfold.
Considering a bearish outcome, Grok pointed toward a $40,000 low for Bitcoin if the current downward pressure persists. According to the AI model, polls across social media platforms point towards this low price level ahead of a slight rebound by the end of the year, which could see Bitcoin return to between $55,000 and $75,000.
Assuming a neutral trend, Grok predicts that Bitcoin’s price will oscillate between $75,000 and $150,000, with gravity pulling toward the $110,000 price region. Meanwhile, if Bitcoin records 2026 as a breakout year, the price could climb above $150,000. According to Grok, aggressive forecasts predict Bitcoin will reach $200,000 to $300,000 by the end of 2026 or early 2027.
Conclusion
AI models show high uncertainty around Bitcoin, with potential extremes between $40K and $300K. However, ongoing regulatory evolution across multiple jurisdictions and the influx of ETF products, combined with almost guaranteed institutional participation, tilt the scales slightly bullish, leaving users optimistic about an eventual rebound for the flagship cryptocurrency.
Related: Bitcoin Bounces From $72.8K, but On-Chain Data Warns of More Downside
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