Hyperliquid (HYPE) Price Prediction: Will the Token Hold Above the Critical $44 Level?

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price prediction for the Hyperliquid (HYPE) token, analyzing its recent rally against underlying on-chain and tokenomic risks.
  • Hyperliquid profits show deep inequality, with ROI often under 200% for top users
  • HYPE’s bullish rally gains traction, but RSI and MACD warn of possible pullback
  • Forecast shows HYPE may drop 17% by Dec 2025 despite current price momentum

The price of Hyperliquid’s native token, HYPE, has jumped over 11% in a single day, signaling strong bullish sentiment. The asset recently broke above prior resistance levels, pushing into new territory with renewed momentum.

However, a deeper analysis reveals a complex picture. While the short-term price action is strong, underlying factors like a high concentration of ownership among a few whale wallets and a cautious long-term forecast suggest traders should remain vigilant. The key question now is whether HYPE can hold its new highs above the $44 level.

Underlying Risks: Whale Concentration and Future Token Unlocks

According to DeFi analyst Mochi, profits on the Hyperliquid platform are heavily concentrated among a small group of traders. Only 170 users on the platform have made over $10 million in profits. Meanwhile, 1,589 users have surpassed the $1 million mark. 

These figures account for both trading profits and generous airdrop rewards. However, many of these high-earning accounts show returns on investment (ROI) below 200%, hinting at large initial capital commitments rather than outsized trading skill. This growing disparity has sparked discussions around the sustainability of this wealth concentration.

Price Trend Signals Continued Optimism But With Caution

As of press time trading at $44.43, HYPE has jumped 11.06% in a single day, signaling strong bullish sentiment. The asset recently broke above prior resistance levels, pushing into new territory with renewed momentum. 

Buyers have clearly taken control of the trend, and trading volume has surged by 37.27%, backing the strength of this upward move. Moreover, market capitalization has grown by over 10%, reinforcing investor confidence.

HYPE/USD daily price chart, Source: TradingView

Despite the optimism, technical indicators suggest caution may be necessary. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is hovering at 69.90 just below the overbought threshold. 

If the RSI pushes further without a price correction, short-term traders may begin to lock in profits. Meanwhile, the MACD shows a widening bullish crossover, which supports the momentum but could signal overheating if it diverges.

Key Technical Levels and Longer-Term Outlook

Support levels have shifted upward, reflecting increased price stability. Immediate support sits around $42.20, with stronger foundations near $41.00 and $40.10. 

On the upside, resistance is forming near the $44.80–$45.00 zone. If HYPE breaks this threshold, the price may enter a discovery phase with limited resistance ahead.

Related: HYPE Hits All-Time High: Will It Overtake ADA in the Crypto Rankings?

However, the future isn’t without headwinds. With only 33% of HYPE’s total supply currently in circulation, future token unlocks could add volatility. 

This factor, combined with the fact that wealth is centralized among a small group of capital-heavy traders, creates long-term risks. Investors should watch for changes in tokenomics or whale activity that may skew market dynamics.

December 2025 Projection Shows Possible Correction

Coincodex projection suggests HYPE could trade between $36.20 and $37.07 by December 2025. If that plays out, it would mark a decline of 17.67% from today’s price.

Related: HYPE Shows Strong Buyer Control as Cascading Liquidations Wipe Out Short Positions

Despite short-term momentum, the forecast indicates potential consolidation or a correction in the medium term.

Disclaimer: The information presented in this article is for informational and educational purposes only. The article does not constitute financial advice or advice of any kind. Coin Edition is not responsible for any losses incurred as a result of the utilization of content, products, or services mentioned. Readers are advised to exercise caution before taking any action related to the company.


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