- Investor speculation around Bitcoin is rising amid increase in inflows and institutional demand worldwide.
- Onchain metrics reveal a shift towards speculation in short-term holders depositing billions daily.
- Bitcoin derivatives markets show similar sentiments, with futures and options open interest nearing all-time highs.
This week’s newsletter from Glassnode revealed that Bitcoin speculation is reaching new heights. Investors are witnessing a surge in speculative activity driven by increasing capital flows, derivatives leverage, and institutional interest.
Bitcoin’s price was hovering around $52000 through the week, and it has managed to retain the majority of its gains since mid-February. The report also showed that this resilience was supported by a significant increase in the realized capital, which climbed by over $30 billion year-to-date to $460 billion. With an average unrealized profit of +120% per coin, investors found themselves in a decent position compared to the early stages of previous bull markets.
Looking into onchain metrics, a shift towards speculation has emerged, particularly among short-term holders (STH). These investors have been consistently depositing over $2 billion daily into exchanges since mid-January, driving exchange volumes to higher levels. Additionally, the inflow of over 90,000 Bitcoin into spot ETFs highlights a growing institutional appetite for the digital asset.
Derivatives markets have reflected this speculative sentiment, with open interest in futures and options markets nearing all-time highs. Along with that, the yield available through futures markets has surged to 14.7%, attracting traders keen on leveraging long positions. Furthermore, the widening spread between BTC and ETH funding rates indicates a growing user preference for riskier assets.
As far as speculation goes, Bitcoin trading veteran Peter Brandt has recently revised his prediction for the current bull market cycle. He believes that Bitcoin’s price will reach $200,000, which is up from his previous prediction of $120,000. This forecast is based on a technical analysis chart that shows Bitcoin breaking above a key channel.
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