Solana (SOL) Price Prediction for May 26: Bulls Face $186 Wall as Momentum Stalls Below Fibonacci Ceiling

After a powerful two-week surge from sub-$140 levels, the Solana price today is trading near $179.05, up nearly 30% since the May breakout. However, recent sessions have seen the rally begin to cool as bulls face stiff resistance at the 50% Fibonacci retracement near $184 and short-term exhaustion appears on the charts.

The question now is: Why is the Solana price going down today after such a strong bullish push? Technical charts offer some clear signals that bulls may be losing grip near a key decision zone.

What’s Happening With Solana’s Price?

The Solana price action on the 4-hour chart shows a steep breakout from the wedge structure formed earlier in May, propelling SOL from the $140–$145 accumulation zone toward a high of $187.45. This move aligned with broader altcoin strength and Bitcoin stability above $67,000.

However, since tagging the resistance zone around $186–$188, the Solana price has started forming lower highs on shorter timeframes. A rising wedge breakdown on the 1-hour and 30-minute charts is now placing pressure on support around $176 and $172. On the 1D chart, price is consolidating just below the 50% retracement of the $272–$95 range, hinting at a battle zone between bulls and profit-takers.

Indicators Signal Cooling Momentum After Rally

Momentum indicators show clear signs of short-term fatigue. The RSI on the 30-minute and 4-hour charts has slipped below 45, signaling declining buying strength. MACD lines have crossed bearishly on lower timeframes, with histogram bars flashing red — another indication of slowing bullish momentum.

The Stoch RSI also reflects a near-term downturn, with both %K and %D lines curving down from overbought levels. Meanwhile, the Ichimoku Cloud shows price flattening near the Kijun line at $180.43, with the cloud narrowing — a signal of diminishing directional conviction.

Bollinger Bands on the 4-hour timeframe have begun to contract after a strong expansion phase, reflecting lower Solana price volatility as the market pauses after its sharp rally.

Key Levels to Watch Ahead of May 26

The immediate resistance remains at $184–$186, which aligns with the 0.5 Fibonacci retracement level. A clean breakout above this zone would open the door to the $205 and $234 zones — corresponding to the 61.8% and 78.6% retracement levels respectively.

On the downside, initial support lies at $173, followed by a more critical zone near $164 — the neckline of the previous breakout structure. A breakdown below this could drag SOL toward the $150–$156 band, which holds the 100 and 200 EMA clusters on the 4-hour chart.

Short-Term Outlook: Can Solana Regain Momentum?

Despite the recent pullback, the broader trend remains constructive as long as SOL holds above $164 on the daily close. The multi-timeframe structure still leans bullish, but Solana price spikes may face exhaustion unless volume and RSI reclaim strength soon.

For May 26, the key question is whether bulls can reclaim control above $184 and target a breakout toward $200+. A failure to do so may lead to extended chop or a retest of lower support levels amid declining momentum.

Solana Price Prediction Table

The Solana price today is in a cooling phase after an impressive breakout, with bulls facing immediate hurdles near $184–$186. While the broader structure remains favorable, short-term Solana price action shows consolidation and weakening momentum. Traders should monitor volume and RSI recovery above $180 to confirm a bullish continuation, or prepare for a retracement toward the $164–$172 support zone.