Solana (SOL) Price Prediction for August 26

The Solana price today sits around $202, down more than 3% on the day. It couldn’t stay above the $213 to $215 resistance band. SOL has been going up strongly since July, when it was around $147, but now it looks like it’s losing steam and there are several signs that it will pull back in the short term. The first test is at $200, which is where both the short-term moving averages and the channel midline meet.

Solana Price Forecast Table: August 26, 2025

What’s Happening With Solana’s Price?

SOL is trading in a rising parallel channel on the daily timeframe. This channel has helped the price rise since April. The most recent push to $215 was a weak high on Smart Money Concept levels, and the price quickly fell back to $202. Structure is still bullish inside the channel, but short-term supply above $215 has slowed things down.

The volume profile shows that the $188 to $190 area is the last strong base of accumulation. The $147 area is still an important shelf below this. On the plus side, a break above $215 would lead to the $230 to $240 supply block, where there is strong resistance at $273 from February’s breakdown.

Why Is The Solana Price Going Down Today?

Technical rejection and negative spot flows are two reasons why the price of Solana is going down today. On August 25, Coinglass data showed a net outflow of $57.15 million, which meant that investors cut back on their investments after the rally to $215. This fits with the rejection of the channel top and confirms the pressure to take profits.

The 30-minute chart shows SOL slipping below its session VWAP near $208, signaling weakened intraday bids. RSI has also cooled sharply to 39, down from overbought conditions earlier this week. These shifts reflect a clear pause in bullish momentum after consecutive higher highs.

Indicators, Signals, And Patterns (24H)

The 4-hour chart shows SOL pressing against its Bollinger mid-band near $200. A hold here would stabilize price action, while a close below it would likely target the lower band at $183. EMAs cluster tightly: the 20 EMA at $200, 50 EMA at $194, 100 EMA at $189, and 200 EMA at $183. The short-term battle is whether SOL can stay above the 20 EMA, or risk sliding back into the $188 to $190 support shelf.

The Supertrend indicator has flipped bullish at $193.5, which remains the immediate trailing support line for buyers. Meanwhile, DMI shows +DI retreating while –DI rises, with ADX above 29, confirming sellers are gaining momentum as volatility expands.

On the daily Smart Money Concepts chart, the recent move to $215 has been marked as a weak high. Unless SOL reclaims this level, the bias tilts to consolidation or a pullback inside the rising channel.

SOL Price Prediction: Short-Term Outlook (24H)

The near-term outlook for Solana price today is one of caution. If $200 holds, buyers could mount another attempt toward $208 and $213. A breakout above $215 would reopen targets at $230 and $240. On the downside, a failure to hold $200 risks a slide toward $193 and then $188. A loss of $188 would expose $175, where the channel lower boundary and longer-term EMAs converge.

Given the combination of negative netflows, RSI cooling, and resistance at $215, the bias is tilted toward short-term consolidation. Bulls must defend the $200 shelf to avoid a deeper reset.