The price of Toncoin is currently around $3.49, which is a strong level after it fell to a low of $3.14 earlier this month. On the daily chart, TON has been coiling inside a wide accumulation structure. Smart money concepts like BOS and CHoCH show that buyers are slowly gaining control. There is a lot of demand in the $2.90–$3.00 range, and the fact that it keeps getting rejected from $3.70 shows that this is the next big resistance zone.
TON has broken out of its broader downtrend from March lows and is now trading above the diagonal trendline resistance. This structural change, together with consistent higher lows since July, suggests strengthening bullish intent.
Why Is The Toncoin Price Going Up Today?
One reason why the Toncoin price going up today lies in improving liquidity flows. Exchange data shows a positive net inflow of $1.15M on August 16, coinciding with TON’s climb toward $3.50. This indicates renewed market participation on the buy side.
On the intraday chart, TON is pressing against the $3.55 resistance after reclaiming the 0.5 Fibonacci retracement level at $3.44. The Parabolic SAR dots have flipped below price, confirming a short-term bullish bias.
Bollinger Bands, EMAs, and Market Momentum
The 4-hour chart shows Bollinger Bands contracting, with TON now attempting a squeeze breakout. Price is holding above the 20, 50, and 100 EMA cluster between $3.31 and $3.44, showing that the dynamic moving averages are now acting as support. The 200 EMA at $3.39 is also aligned below current levels, adding further stability.
Momentum indicators confirm the bullish tilt. The RSI on the 30-minute chart is at 63, staying just below overbought levels but signaling firm demand. MACD has completed a bullish crossover, with the histogram building upward momentum.
Directional Movement Index (DMI) shows the +DI leading above the -DI, while ADX remains steady, indicating a developing trend. Meanwhile, the Supertrend indicator has shifted into a green zone after last week’s correction, providing additional support for upward continuation.
Toncoin Price Prediction: Short-Term Outlook (24H)
In the near term, the price action of Toncoin is poised to pivot between $3.55 and $3.60. A breakout above this level with volume confirmation could open the path toward $3.70, followed by $3.85. Beyond that, the next supply zone lies closer to $4.00.
On the downside, failure to close above $3.55 may result in another pullback toward $3.44 and potentially $3.37, the 0.382 Fib retracement. A deeper decline would retest the $3.25 to $3.30 support zone, where previous demand re-emerged.
Overall, with EMAs stacked below price, bullish crossovers in momentum indicators, and liquidity data improving, Toncoin appears positioned for an upside attempt. Traders should watch the $3.55 breakout zone closely.
Toncoin Price Forecast Table: August 17, 2025
| Indicator/Zone | Level / Signal |
| Toncoin price today | $3.49 |
| Resistance 1 | $3.55 |
| Resistance 2 | $3.70 |
| Support 1 | $3.44 |
| Support 2 | $3.30 |
| EMA Cluster (20/50/100/200, 4H) | $3.31–$3.44, stacked bullish |
| RSI (30-min) | 63.4 (bullish momentum) |
| MACD (30-min) | Bullish crossover |
| Parabolic SAR (4H) | Bullish, dots below price |
| Supertrend (4H) | Flipped bullish near $3.38 |
| Liquidity Netflow (Aug 16) | +$1.15M inflow, bullish signal |
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