- Bitcoin’s declining inflows and weakened momentum could delay altseason into 2026.
- Crypto market cap faces resistance at $2.74 trillion amid declining investor sentiment.
- Ethereum and major altcoins struggle, raising doubts about a near-term altseason breakout.
Analysts are currently tracking the crypto market, trying to gauge when the next “altseason” might kick off. CryptoBullet points to the typical four-year market cycle, expecting it to wrap up around October or November of 2025.
This timeline suggests altcoins could see a surge within the next eight months. However, the current market shows some hesitation, especially with Ethereum and other altcoins not exhibiting strong momentum, leading to questions about a potential delay into 2026.
Expected Timeline for Altseason, and What Market Signals Suggest Otherwise?
Ali Martinez analyzed Bitcoin’s Altseason Indicator. He noted Bitcoin’s peak at $96,715.57 on December 10, 2024, when Bitcoin attracted $0.13 million in capital, Ethereum $0.06 million, and stablecoins $0.10 million. By March 16, 2025, Bitcoin had fallen to $82,599.04. Inflows also saw a dip, with Bitcoin receiving just $0.007 million, Ethereum $0.024 million, and stablecoins $0.020 million.
Related: Altseason Incoming? Breakout Levels for Major Altcoin Rally — Analyst
The Altseason Indicator has slid from 1 to 0.33, signaling weakening momentum. This suggests altseason might stall unless Bitcoin stages a significant recovery. Martinez cautions that if Bitcoin breaks below $80,000, it could indicate further downside. Conversely, a climb above $90,000 might reignite investor confidence.
Related: Altseason Watch: XRP, ADA, SUI Lead Price Surge Plus Five More to Watch
What Insights Does the Bitcoin Altseason Indicator Provide?
The total crypto market cap trended upward in mid-2024, hitting a peak above $3.6 trillion. A correction then pulled it back to $2.69 trillion. While the market is attempting a recovery, resistance levels are capping its progress.
The $2.69 trillion mark now acts as immediate support. Short-term support sits at $2.71 trillion, while a stronger demand zone lies between $2.6 trillion and $2.55 trillion. The next key resistance is at $2.74 trillion, aligning with the 50-day moving average. A more significant ceiling exists at $2.84 trillion, near the 200-day moving average.
Key Support and Resistance Levels of Altcoins
Ethereum currently trades at $1,967.74, down 0.86% in the last 24 hours. Avalanche is at $18.58, a 1.22% decrease, and Solana is priced at $126.61, having lost 3.02% over the same period. These declines reflect a broader trend of altcoins struggling for upward movement, adding to the uncertainty around a near-term altseason.
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