Four Scenarios That Could Define XRP’s Next Bull Run, According to a New Analysis

• A crypto analyst sees a bullish ‘W’ pattern in XRP’s long-term chart, hinting at a potential breakout toward a $25 price target.
• Four scenarios based on technical analysis suggest XRP could reach anywhere from $4.50 to $25, depending on market behavior and Fibonacci levels.
• XRP remains stable at $2.32, showing resilience and support amid recent market volatility.

With XRP showing signs of a steady yet slow recovery in its price, its market capitalization suggests that it might eventually reach the area around $25. This is provided that certain factors, identified by the pseudonymous cryptocurrency market analyst EGRAG CRYPTO in a new analysis posted on X, fall in place.

Indeed, the analyst noted that the technical analysis (TA) of XRP’s market cap macro movements have been demonstrating a clear ‘W’ pattern (a double-bottom or cup-and-handle), “specifically pattern #10.” It has spanned from the 2018 high, through dips in 2020 and mid-2022, and back up in 2025.

Furthermore, he highlighted that it’s been holding above the previous all-time high (ATH) and Fib 1 since December 2024. He identified it as an obvious indicator of bullish accumulation and projected four possible moves based on different approaches. 

Four Different Projections for XRP Price

1. The “W” Formation (Non-Logarithmic): A standard measurement of the pattern projects a market cap of $270 billion, implying a more conservative target XRP price of $4.50, given the supply of 58.81 billion tokens.
2. Historical Fibonacci Moves: Based on gains of about 242% from 2017, moving from Fib 1 to Fib 1.618, indicates a potential XRP price of $7.60.
3. Long-Term Fibonacci Extension: Refers to Fib 1.618 based on the 2018 high and 2020 lows, the market cap could hit $978 billion and XRP price of $17.
4. The “W” Formation (Logarithmic): The most ambitious projection using the logarithmic measurement of the “W” pattern, sees its market cap at $1.5 trillion, which implies an XRP price of $25.

The last approach would also see XRP’s market cap aligning with a bullish pennant on both the XRP/USD and XRP/BTC charts.

Due to this, EGRAG CRYPTO has projected a value of $1.2 trillion for the market cap, and XRP price surge to $20 by the fourth quarter of 2025.

Meanwhile, XRP has remained resilient, holding above critical levels despite recent volatility in the crypto market. Notably, it has retained stability with strong support with its current price of $2.32, having gone up by 1.77% in the past 24 hours and 3.18% over the past week.