- Many XRP ETFs are scheduled to launch between November 18-25, starting with EZRP.
- XRP declined 15% since the first ETF launch, compared to Bitcoin’s 20% drop pattern.
- Analyst questions whether XRP will match BTC’s 20% decline or follow ETH’s drop.
There are a lot of XRP exchange-traded funds scheduled to launch between November 18-25. Franklin Templeton’s EZRP leads the wave, launching on November 18, followed by Bitwise on November 20, 21Shares on November 21, CoinShares on November 22, Grayscale and WisdomTree on November 25.
XRP currently shows mixed short-term performance: up 1.0% over 24 hours but down 11.0% over seven days and 4.7% over 30 days. The token has gained 114.3% over the past year despite recent weakness.
Historical Patterns Suggest Volatility Ahead
Analyst EGRAG Crypto noted that XRP has declined 15% since the first ETF launch. Bitcoin experienced approximately a 20% drop on its ETF launch date, suggesting XRP could face an additional 5% decline to match that pattern. Ethereum dropped 40% after its ETF launch, raising questions about which trajectory XRP will follow.
Analyst Diana highlighted Franklin Templeton’s significance as a $1.5 trillion asset manager launching EZRP on CBOE on Tuesday. “Analysts are already saying EZRP could match or even beat Canary’s huge Day-1 volume… simply because big money prefers allocating through a heavyweight like Franklin,” Diana stated.
The concentration of launches within one week creates conditions for liquidity influx. “Multiple XRP ETFs going live in the same week… this is how liquidity floods in,” Diana noted. Historical context from previous ETF launches provides a framework for expectations.
Bitcoin surged 96% from October 2023 to January 2024 ahead of ETF approval, then dropped 8-10% within a week post-launch despite $4.6 billion first-day volume. Bitcoin subsequently gained 130% year-to-date through 2024.
Solana Provides Recent Comparable
Ethereum’s July 2024 ETF debut saw $1 billion in first-day volume with $107 million net inflows, followed by a 3% immediate decline. ETH stabilized within 2-3 weeks and gained 17% from pre-announcement levels within months.
Solana’s October 2025 launch offers the most recent data point. SOL ETF attracted nearly $200 million in first-week total net inflows despite SOL dropping from $187 to $146, a 22% decline, before recovering to the $160-169 range.
The pattern across Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Solana suggests “buy the rumor, sell the news” behavior typically drives initial post-launch corrections. Whether XRP follows Bitcoin’s moderate 20% correction or Ethereum’s more severe 40% decline depends on factors including leverage ratios, institutional participation, and broader market conditions during launch week.
Related: https://coinedition.com/xrp-price-today-model-viral-etf-launch-15-target-liquidity-shock/
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