After a recovery rally from sub-$2.00 levels earlier this week, XRP price today is hovering around $2.18, showing signs of hesitation near a major resistance zone. Despite breaking back above the $2.10 psychological level, XRP now faces a convergence of key indicators that could determine whether upside continuation or a reversal plays out on June 30.
What’s Happening With XRP’s Price?
XRP has rebounded into a multi-layered resistance cluster between $2.18 and $2.25, marked by supply zones from Smart Money Concepts, previous CHoCH levels, and multiple failed breakouts. The 4-hour chart reveals price attempting to reclaim the descending channel resistance, but rejection from the $2.21–$2.23 zone remains a key barrier.
Price is currently trading above the 20, 50, and 100 EMA lines (now clustered between $2.15–$2.18), showing short-term bullish structure. However, it remains below the 200 EMA ($2.1889), which aligns closely with Keltner Channel midline resistance. The daily chart shows a descending wedge pattern still active, with XRP struggling to decisively break above the upper trendline near $2.20.
Smart Money data also reflects caution. The most recent CHoCH rejection near $2.23–$2.25 coincides with a historical EQH zone that triggered multiple structural breakdowns in June. Until that ceiling is cleared, upside remains limited.
Why Is the XRP Price Going Down Today?
The recent decline from $2.20 is primarily due to momentum exhaustion and overhead pressure from high-volume liquidity zones. The 30-minute chart shows the RSI diverging with price, printing a bearish signal near 48.1. This coincides with a rejection from VWAP resistance at $2.1848, while the MACD histogram has flattened with no bullish crossover confirmation.
Parabolic SAR dots have flipped above price, further reinforcing a potential intraday downtrend. The 4-hour Supertrend remains bearish below $2.11, and despite short-term attempts to flip bullish, the signal has not yet fully confirmed an uptrend resumption.
Additionally, option market data from Deribit indicates heavy call interest at the $2.20–$2.25 strikes for the July 4 expiry. Implied volatility remains subdued near 59%, suggesting that traders are pricing in limited upside unless $2.25 is breached with momentum.
On the order flow side, MFI is hovering at 48.6, showing neutral inflows, while the RSI on higher timeframes remains below 50 — signaling that bulls still lack conviction.
Key Indicators Signal Compression at Resistance
XRP is trading within a narrowing range between $2.15 and $2.21, with Bollinger Bands tightening and Keltner Channels showing reduced volatility. This typically precedes a breakout, but direction remains uncertain.
VWAP, SAR, and 200 EMA are all coiling around the $2.18 zone. This convergence makes $2.18–$2.20 a pivotal level for bulls to reclaim with volume if a breakout toward $2.25–$2.30 is to be achieved.
Failure to do so would open the door for a revisit to the $2.05–$2.00 support band — a liquidity-rich area confirmed by multiple CHoCH and BOS formations on the Smart Money chart.
XRP Price Prediction: Short-Term Outlook (24h)
If XRP price closes above $2.21 with strong volume and RSI pushes back above 50, a rally toward $2.25 and potentially $2.30 becomes likely. This would align with the 1D wedge breakout scenario and confirm a broader bullish reversal.
On the flip side, rejection below $2.18 could drag price toward $2.12 and $2.05, where bullish OB and high-volume support exist. A breakdown below $2.00 would negate the short-term bullish case and reintroduce downside risk toward $1.91.
Given the current convergence of major indicators, the next 24 hours are critical. XRP price volatility is expected to rise as compression reaches its tipping point.
XRP Price Forecast Table: June 30, 2025
Indicator/Zone | Level (USD) | Signal |
Resistance 1 | 2.21 | VWAP + upper trendline |
Resistance 2 | 2.25 | Option wall & EQH zone |
Support 1 | 2.15 | EMA20/50/100 confluence |
Support 2 | 2.05 | Smart Money bullish OB zone |
RSI (30-min) | 48.16 | Bearish divergence |
MACD (30-min) | Flat | No clear signal |
VWAP | 2.1848 | Immediate resistance |
Parabolic SAR | 2.1788 (above) | Bearish intraday |
Supertrend (4H) | Bearish under 2.11 | Yet to flip bullish |
Option Strike Wall | 2.25 | Implied cap |
MFI (4H) | 48.68 | Neutral capital flow |
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