XRP Price Prediction May 2025: Will Ripple Smash $3 or Crash to $1.70?

XRP (Ripple) is currently trading around the $2.21 level as of May 1, 2025, following a multi-month uptrend that peaked near $3.40 in early March. The asset has since entered a corrective phase but continues to hold higher timeframe support levels. This consolidation suggests that XRP may be stabilizing before its next directional move.

The overall market sentiment is neutral to slightly bullish, as XRP remains above key Fibonacci support zones and is attempting to reclaim broken trendlines on lower timeframes. However, a lack of strong volume during the bounce from April lows keeps bullish conviction in check for now.

Weekly Chart: Fibonacci Retracement Defines Long-Term Support Zones

On the weekly timeframe, Fibonacci retracement levels drawn from the $0.45 swing low to the $3.40 high provide a solid framework for understanding the ongoing correction:

• 0.236 Fib: $2.699
• 0.382 Fib: $2.267
• 0.5 Fib: $1.917
• 0.618 Fib: $1.568
• 0.786 Fib: $1.070

Currently, XRP is trading between the 0.382 and 0.5 levels, holding above the $1.91 zone, which historically serves as a strong institutional accumulation level. A successful defense of this area could fuel a fresh leg up toward $2.70 and $3.00. On the downside, a breakdown below $1.91 would open up the $1.56 zone, a key mid-cycle retracement level, followed by the $1.07 handle.

Key takeaway: As long as XRP stays above the 0.5 retracement at $1.91, the macro trend remains intact.

Daily Chart: Retesting Trendline After Breakout From Descending Channel

The daily chart shows XRP has broken out from a descending trendline structure that extended from its March highs. Price is now in the process of retesting the breakout region near $2.20.

• Immediate support: $2.00–$2.10
• Critical support: $1.70
• Upside target: $2.40 and $2.70
• Trendline resistance (invalidated): $2.28 (now retested as support)

Despite the pullback, price action remains constructive. Multiple bounces from the $2.00–$2.10 zone suggest buyers are still present, though a decisive breakout above $2.35 is required to reestablish bullish control. That level has acted as a rejection zone in April and late March.

4-Hour Chart: Symmetrical Triangle Tightening Into a Breakout Point

Zooming into the 4-hour chart, XRP is trading within a symmetrical triangle pattern that’s compressing price between $2.10 and $2.35. LuxAlgo’s dynamic trendline projection puts the breakout point around the first week of May.

• Bullish breakout zone: $2.35–$2.40
• Bearish breakdown zone: $2.10
• Short-term target (bullish): $2.60–$2.70
• Short-term target (bearish): $1.90–$2.00

This structure typically resolves in a strong move—direction dependent on whether buyers can overcome descending supply or if bears reclaim short-term control.

XRP Price Prediction: Momentum indicators: Cautiously Neutral

• RSI (4H): Currently at 46.18, below the midline of 50. This reflects slightly bearish pressure, but a bounce above 50 would confirm momentum shifting in favor of buyers.
• MACD (4H): The MACD line is just below the signal line, with histogram bars fading. This shows bearish momentum weakening, but a crossover hasn’t occurred yet.
• Bollinger Bands: Price is compressing within tightening bands, suggesting a volatility squeeze and imminent expansion.

All indicators suggest a buildup phase rather than a full directional trend. A clean break outside of the triangle will likely align with RSI > 50 and a MACD bullish crossover, signaling confirmation for momentum traders.

XRP Price Prediction: EMA Confluence: Price Battling Resistance Cluster

Looking at the 4-hour EMA stack:

• 20 EMA: $2.14
• 50 EMA: $2.18
• 100 EMA: $2.17
• 200 EMA: $2.23

XRP is currently oscillating between the 50 and 200 EMAs. The 200 EMA near $2.23 remains a key level to reclaim for trend confirmation. A break and hold above this level would likely catalyze a bullish breakout toward $2.60+.

Until that happens, XRP may continue to chop in this zone.

XRP Price Prediction: What to Expect in May 2025?

XRP is coiling within a well-defined structure. If bulls reclaim $2.35 on volume, the token could retest $2.70 and potentially challenge March highs near $3.00. On the flip side, failure to defend $2.10 would expose XRP to deeper retracement toward $1.90 or even $1.70. The base case remains consolidation between $2.00 and $2.35 until directional confirmation emerges.