- XRP has a 95% probability of hitting $2.60 by July, per prediction market data.
- XRP rises to $2.58 with $7.4B daily volume and strong liquidity at 4.85% volume ratio.
- Higher targets like $2.90 and $4.00 show lower confidence despite rising trading interest.
The prediction market Polymarket is now signaling a 95% probability that the price of XRP will reach $2.60 by the end of July, a sign of extremely high confidence from traders. This comes as XRP’s price has surged over 5.48% in the last 24 hours, already reaching $2.58 at the time of writing.
This represents a large shift from earlier sentiment and reflects growing market engagement. There is currently $61,180 in trading volume tied to just the $2.60 outcome on Polymarket.
A Look at the Polymarket Odds
Market data shows that the $2.60 price point carries the strongest probability among all outcomes, marking a 35% increase from previous estimates.
While traders are also eyeing a possible surge to $2.90, the likelihood for that outcome sits at 43%, with $74,435 in volume. Despite the higher trading interest, certainty in XRP exceeded $2.90 remains lower compared to the $2.60 level.
Other key price levels reflect reduced expectations. The $2.00 mark has a 13% chance, down 11% from prior data. Meanwhile, mid-tier values like $1.90 and $1.70 have slipped to 8% and 4%, respectively. Market confidence is consolidating around a narrow range.
Related: XRP Breakout Confirmed: Rally to $4.35 Has Now Begun
Outcomes above $3.00 are priced with less certainty. The $4.00 target, for example, holds just a 4% probability despite receiving the highest trading volume at $540,263. On the lower end, the likelihood of XRP dropping to $1.40 or $1.00 is just 2% and 1%, respectively.
XRP Price Rises, Liquidity and Volume Strengthen
During the time of writing, XRP climbed to $2.58, marking a 5.48% increase over the past 24 hours, according to CoinMarketCap. The token’s market capitalization has grown to $152.85 billion, ranking it fourth among all cryptocurrencies by size. The fully diluted valuation stands at $258.82 billion.
Related: XRP Chart Flashes Rare Pattern from 1,500% Rally
Daily trading volume reached $7.4 billion, a 33.13% increase over the same period. The token’s volume-to-market-cap ratio currently stands at 4.85%, indicating a high liquidity level relative to its total value. Price data shows a steady uptrend throughout the day, with XRP climbing from a low of $2.3447 and maintaining strength above $2.44.
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