XRP Price Prediction: Ripple Australia Deal Sets Up $1.44 Test

• XRP trades at $1.3764, down 0.75%, with the 1-hour Supertrend flipped bullish at $1.3743 as RSI holds at 44.45.
• Ripple is acquiring BC Payments Australia to secure an Australian Financial Services License, targeting deal completion by April 1, 2026.
• XRP Ledger daily transactions sit near 2.7 million with $461 million in tokenized real-world assets on the network.

XRP price today trades near $1.3764, down 0.75%, as price pulls back from yesterday’s session high of $1.4422. The daily structure remains bearish with Bollinger Bands tightening around price and the Bull Market Support Band sitting far above at $1.8763 to $1.9164, but the short-term chart is holding a critical level that determines whether buyers can mount another attempt at the $1.44 zone.

The daily chart shows XRP trading near the lower Bollinger Band at $1.3223, with the midline at $1.3822 acting as the immediate recovery target. A symmetrical triangle has been compressing price since the February lows near $1.18, with each swing getting tighter. That compression is now at a resolution point, and the Ripple news this week gives the potential breakout a fundamental backdrop that purely technical setups would lack.

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1-Hour Chart: Supertrend Holds As Triangle Compresses

The 1-hour chart shows a clear symmetrical triangle forming since the March 9 lows near $1.30, with a rising trendline from below and a descending resistance line from the $1.4422 high creating a compression zone. Price is currently sitting just above the 1-hour Supertrend at $1.3743, which has flipped to a bullish position and is the key short-term support to watch.

RSI sits at 44.45 with the signal line at 47.17, both below 50 but not in oversold territory. The pullback from $1.44 has been orderly rather than aggressive, which keeps the triangle structure intact. A move above $1.39 to $1.40 with volume would break the descending resistance and set up a retest of the $1.44 high, while a break below $1.37 invalidates the triangle support entirely.

Key levels:

• Supertrend support: $1.3743
• Triangle lower support: ~$1.37 rising
• BB midline resistance: $1.3822
• Triangle upper boundary: ~$1.39 to $1.40
• Key resistance: $1.4422

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Ripple Acquires Australian License As APAC Volume Doubles

Ripple announced it is acquiring BC Payments Australia Pty Ltd, a subsidiary of European-based Banking Circle Group, in a move designed to obtain an Australian Financial Services License without going through the traditional application process. The deal is targeted to close on April 1, 2026, giving Ripple immediate access to regulatory infrastructure it describes as critical for expanding payment operations across the region.

Fiona Murray, Ripple’s APAC managing director, confirmed the acquisition reflects enough institutional interest in digital assets in the market to warrant the investment. Once the AFSL is operational, Ripple will be able to manage complete end-to-end payment workflows including onboarding, compliance, funding, currency exchange, liquidity, and settlement within a single regulated platform. Current Australian clients already using Ripple Payments include Caleb and Brown, Flash Payments, and Independent Reserve.

The strategic timing matters. Ripple’s APAC payment volumes nearly doubled year over year in 2025, contributing to $100 billion in total transaction volume across 60 global markets. The company is also becoming a participant in Project Acacia, Australia’s central bank-led digital asset infrastructure program. On-chain, XRP Ledger daily transactions are sitting near 2.7 million with $461 million in tokenized real-world assets on the network, underscoring that activity is building even as price consolidates.

Outlook: Will XRP Go Up?

• Bullish case: XRP holds the 1-hour Supertrend at $1.3743, breaks above the triangle descending resistance near $1.39 to $1.40, and reclaims the BB midline at $1.3822 on a daily close. That reopens the path toward $1.44 and, with sustained volume, the $1.50 to $1.52 resistance zone above. The Australia acquisition closing in April provides a concrete catalyst date that could drive positioning ahead of the event.
• Bearish case: A break below the Supertrend at $1.3743 and the triangle lower boundary collapses the short-term structure and exposes the lower Bollinger Band at $1.3223. Failure to hold that level brings the $1.28 to $1.25 measured move target back into focus, consistent with the symmetrical triangle breakdown scenario from last week.

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