XRP (XRP) Price Prediction for August 11

After a sharp rally to $3.72 earlier this month, XRP price has pulled back into a tightening range near $3.20. Buyers are defending the $3.09–$3.10 support area, while sellers are capping gains under $3.40. The next 24 hours hinge on whether price can reclaim short-term moving averages and break above descending trendline resistance.

What’s happening with XRP’s price?

On the daily chart, XRP price today remains above its July breakout zone near $2.80, keeping the higher-timeframe structure bullish. The recent decline from $3.72 has brought the market into a symmetrical triangle on the 4H chart, with converging resistance at $3.368–$3.400 and support aligning near $3.093.

The 4H EMAs show mixed positioning: EMA20 at $3.213 is acting as immediate resistance, while EMA50 ($3.141) and EMA100 ($3.104) sit below current price, offering layered support. The EMA200 at $2.985 is a deeper cushion and aligns with the high-volume demand zone from early August.

The Parabolic SAR on the 4H timeframe is currently above price, starting near $3.40 and stepping down to $3.33, signaling that sellers still have short-term control. Multiple support layers are visible: immediate at $3.10, followed by $3.00 and $2.92. A deeper demand zone sits at $2.80.

On the daily chart, XRP price today holds well above its July breakout base at $2.80, keeping the higher-timeframe structure bullish. The Smart Money Concepts (SMC) read shows the last Break of Structure (BOS) was bullish from the $2.20 demand block, sending price to $3.72. That $3.72 peak is labeled as a weak high, meaning uncollected buy-side liquidity rests above.

Why XRP price going down today?

The 4H Supertrend remains bullish above $3.093, reinforcing the $3.09–$3.10 zone as a key defensive line for buyers. DMI readings show +DI (22.56) only slightly above -DI (19.30), with ADX near 16, confirming the current trend lacks strong directional conviction.

The liquidity map indicates an unfilled supply block between $3.54 and $3.66, which has acted as a profit-taking zone on prior rallies. Until price can build acceptance above $3.40, upside tests of this supply remain unlikely. However, positive spot netflows (+$10.19M) indicate that larger players are adding positions into this pullback, which could help support the base.

RSI oversold bounce in focus for short-term traders

The oversold 30-min RSI reading of 39.66, combined with the 4H RSI at 45, suggests sellers are losing strength in the immediate term. 

Bollinger Bands on the 4H chart are tightening, with the lower band at $3.033 and the midline at $3.240. This compression signals a volatility build-up. A reclaim of VWAP at $3.228 and the EMA20 at $3.213 would be early signs of bullish momentum returning. Failure to do so would leave price vulnerable to a drop toward $3.00.

XRP price prediction: short-term outlook (24h)

In the bullish case, a breakout above $3.368–$3.400 would confirm a triangle resolution to the upside. This could target $3.54 initially, with a stretch move toward the $3.66 supply zone. Invalidation for this scenario sits below $3.093, as a breakdown would open the door to $2.985 and $2.80.

In the bearish case, a loss of $3.093 would trigger a deeper pullback into the $2.98–$3.00 demand zone. A decisive break under $2.98 could accelerate selling toward $2.80, where the daily structure’s breakout base lies. This scenario would be invalidated if price reclaims and closes above $3.400 on strong volume.

Confidence: Medium – while higher-timeframe structure remains bullish, short-term indicators show mixed momentum and low ADX trend strength.

XRP Price Forecast Table: August 11, 2025