- Gram price prediction stays bearish below $1.35, with $1.25 the base case for year-end 2026
- Telegram founder Pavel Durov says more than 1 million Gram wallets were activated within 48 hours
- Bitcoin.com data shows only about 178,000 of 2.85 million Telegram wallets, roughly 6%, hold a balance
Gram price prediction for 2026 stays bearish below $1.35, the level GRAM needs to clear to break out of its falling wedge, with a base case of $1.25 by year-end and $2.40 by 2030.
Gram (prev. Toncoin) Price Prediction 2026: Can GRAM Break $1.35 Before the Wedge Ends?
GRAM could end 2026 between $0.80 and $1.70, with a base case of $1.25 if it holds above $1.00. The bull case needs a close above the wedge line near $1.35 and a push through the $1.4614 200-day EMA toward the $1.72 September high. A close below $1.00 would put $0.80 in play.
Gram (prev. Toncoin) Price Analysis: Can GRAM Break $1.35?
GRAM has bounced roughly 18% from its November low near $1.00, but the broader downtrend remains intact. At $1.1837, price barely holds above the 20-day EMA at $1.1742. The first resistance sits at $1.27, followed by $1.35, where the falling wedge’s upper boundary meets the 100-day EMA.
The wedge has narrowed since May’s high near $2.90, leaving GRAM about 59% below that peak. Buyers defended its lower boundary near $1.00 this month, though the rebound has yet to clear the longer-term moving averages. RSI has recovered from around 24 to 47.85, suggesting selling pressure has eased without a clear shift to bullish momentum.
Holding $1.17 would give buyers room to challenge $1.27. A daily close above $1.35 would confirm a wedge breakout and bring the 200-day EMA near $1.46 into focus. Until then, the recovery remains within the pattern. Losing $1.00 would weaken the setup, with $0.80 the next round-number level to watch.
Gram (prev. Toncoin) Support and Resistance Levels, November 12, 2026
| Type | Price | Why it matters |
| Resistance | $1.27 | 50-day EMA |
| Resistance | $1.35 | Falling wedge line, beside the 100-day EMA |
| Resistance | $1.46 | 200-day EMA |
| Support | $1.17 | 20-day EMA, beside today’s low |
| Support | $1.00 | Wedge floor and November low |
| Support | $0.80 | Round level below the wedge |
What Is Driving GRAM’s Price in 2026?
Telegram Reports 1 Million Wallet Activations in 48 Hours
Telegram founder Pavel Durov said on November 11 that more than 1 million Gram wallets were activated within 48 hours. He also called GRAM undervalued and said it belongs in CoinMarketCap’s top three. That is his own opinion, with no method behind it, not a ranking change. A wallet activates when it receives GRAM, so the count shows how many people were reached, not how many bought.
Few of those wallets are funded. Bitcoin.com, citing GRAM Explorer data, reported about 2.85 million Telegram wallets created but only about 178,000, or roughly 6%, holding a balance. Those balances add up to about $2.0 million, or about 0.06% of the 2.86 billion GRAM in circulation. Until more of these wallets hold and spend GRAM, the numbers support the adoption story more than they set the 2026 price.
Telegram’s New Widgets Bring TON Wallet Actions Into Chats
Telegram’s Bot API 10.4, released on November 9, added interactive widgets inside messages, including wallet actions such as signed data and notifications about transactions sent from users’ TON wallets.
According to Telegram’s documentation, only widgets in private chats with bots, and the wallet actions inside them, are live in production. Widgets in groups, forwarded messages and inline mode are on the test server only. The feature widens where GRAM can be used inside Telegram, but it shows no payment volume yet.
TON Strategy Earns $13.1M in Staking Revenue but Books Token Losses
Nasdaq-listed TON Strategy Company (TONX) reported third-quarter results on November 10. It said revenue fell to $13.1 million from $15 million because of weaker GRAM prices, while the GRAM it earned stayed broadly flat at 9.4 million.
| Metric | Reported result |
| Revenue, mostly GRAM staking | $13.1M, down from $15M |
| GRAM held at September 30 | 235.1M, with 232.9M staked |
| Annualized gross staking yield | About 16% |
| Unrealized loss on GRAM | $27.2M |
| Net loss (The Block) | $24M |
| Cash, no debt | $25.3M |
The company stakes nearly all of its GRAM, about 8% of circulating supply, so its earnings move with the token’s price. At $1.18, those tokens would be worth about $278 million, about 20% less than the $348.5 million at September 30.
Gram (prev. Toncoin) Price Prediction 2026 to 2030: Bear, Base and Bull Scenarios
These are year-end price scenarios for GRAM, built from the daily chart levels, the wedge, the seasonal record and the Telegram wallet rollout.
| Year | Bear case | Base case | Bull case |
| 2026 | $0.80 | $1.25 | $1.70 |
| 2027 | $0.70 | $1.45 | $2.40 |
| 2028 | $0.65 | $1.75 | $3.20 |
| 2029 | $0.65 | $2.05 | $4.00 |
| 2030 | $0.70 | $2.40 | $5.00 |
They are scenario estimates, not guarantees, and each depends on how many new wallets hold and spend GRAM and on how Telegram’s payment tools develop.
Gram (prev. Toncoin) Price Prediction 2027: Can Wallet Growth Turn Into Funded Users?
GRAM could end 2027 between $0.70 and $2.40, with a base case of $1.45, about 23% above today’s price. The base case needs more of the activated wallets to hold GRAM and the widget rollout to reach groups, forwarding and inline mode, which are test-server only today. The bear case has activations fade without retained balances and sends GRAM toward $0.70, about 41% below today’s price. The bull case needs Telegram payments to show steady volume.
Gram (prev. Toncoin) Price Prediction 2028: Can In-Chat Payments Carry GRAM to $1.75?
GRAM could finish 2028 between $0.65 and $3.20, with a base case of $1.75, about 48% above today’s price. The base case assumes in-chat payments produce measurable transaction volume and staking stays attractive, since TON Strategy reports a gross yield near 16% today. The bear case has usage stay a Telegram feature that does not need the token. The bull case has payment activity grow into a lasting source of demand for GRAM.
Gram (prev. Toncoin) Price Prediction 2029: Can GRAM Move Back Toward $2.05?
GRAM could trade between $0.65 and $4.00 at the end of 2029, with a base case of $2.05, about 73% above today’s price and about 29% below the May 2026 high near $2.90. The base case assumes the wallet base has matured, so price follows funded balances and transaction volume more closely than headlines. The bull case needs a new high above that May peak. The bear case is a slide to the $0.65 area, well below the wedge floor near $1.00.
Gram (prev. Toncoin) Price Prediction 2030: Can GRAM Reach $2.40?
GRAM could finish 2030 between $0.70 and $5.00, with a base case of $2.40, about 2.0 times today’s price and a market value near $6.9 billion at today’s 2.86 billion circulating supply. The $5.00 bull case, about 4.2 times today’s price, would value GRAM near $14.3 billion on the same supply and needs demand that lasts well beyond Telegram’s wallet push. The $0.70 bear case, about 41% below today’s price, assumes the 2026 wallet surge proves a one-off and staking yield does not hold buyers.
FAQs
GRAM could end 2026 between $0.80 and $1.70, with a base case of $1.25 if it holds above $1.00. A daily close below $1.00 would put $0.80 in play.
In this forecast, GRAM could reach $2.40 by the end of 2030 in the base case, $5.00 in the bull case and $0.70 in the bear case. The base case is about 2.0 times today’s price of $1.18. The scenarios depend on how many Telegram wallets hold and spend GRAM and whether the 2027 rollout of payment tools arrives.
Toncoin became Gram (GRAM) on June 8, 2026 after a community governance vote, according to TON Strategy’s SEC filing. The blockchain is still The Open Network (TON), so the change affected the token’s name and ticker, not the network or existing holdings.
GRAM has bounced about 18% from its November low near $1.00, and Pavel Durov said on November 11 that more than 1 million wallets were activated within 48 hours. None of the data in this analysis ties the rise to a single cause, and only about 6% of wallets hold a balance, according to Bitcoin.com.
Disclaimer: The information presented in this article is for informational and educational purposes only. The article does not constitute financial advice or advice of any kind. Coin Edition is not responsible for any losses incurred as a result of the utilization of content, products, or services mentioned. Readers are advised to exercise caution before taking any action related to the company.
