- Raydium price prediction stays bullish above $2, targeting $2.56 first and $2.80 next
- Raydium earned over $7 million in September against $1.4 million in August, Bitcoin Strategy says
- RAY gained 144.1% in September, its third-largest monthly gain in CryptoRank’s data
Raydium price prediction for October stays bullish above $2, the level RAY needs to hold to keep its September breakout intact.
Raydium Price Analysis: Can RAY Reach $2.80 After Doubling in a Month?
RAY trades near $2.41, down 2.58% today, after gaining about 105% in a month, and it can keep climbing if it clears Wednesday’s high near $2.56, which would open $2.80 and then $3. The gain still leaves RAY about 15% below its price a year ago, so the rally is a recovery that has not yet reached new territory.
The averages show how far price has stretched. RAY sits about 21% above its 20-day EMA at $2, with the 50-day at $1.58 and the 100-day at $1.25 much lower, so a pullback toward $2 would be a normal cooldown, while a daily close below it would put $1.58 in play.
Related: Meteora Price Prediction: MET Surges 43% as DLMM Pro Launch Fuels Market Interest
RAY Support and Resistance Levels for October 2026
| Type | Price |
| Resistance | $2.56 |
| Resistance | $2.80 |
| Resistance | $3 |
| Support | $2.19 |
| Support | $2 |
| Support | $1.58 |
How Has Raydium Performed in October? RAY Has Gained in Three of Five Years
RAY has closed October higher in three of the five completed years since 2021, with an average gain of 12.1% and a median of 9.99%. A 75% surge in 2024 lifts the average and a 38% drop in 2025 is the worst result, so the median is the better guide.
This October is already up 24.1%, more than that median, so RAY is trading above where a typical October would leave it. September’s 144.1% gain compares with a September median loss of 5.57% and followed a 32.3% gain in August.
| Year | October Return |
| 2026 (month to date, excluded) | +24.1% |
| 2025 | -38% |
| 2024 | +75% |
| 2023 | +22.5% |
| 2022 | -8.92% |
| 2021 | +9.99% |
| Average (2021 to 2025) | +12.1% |
| Median (2021 to 2025) | +9.99% |
RAY News: Raydium Revenue Jumps From $1.4 Million to Over $7 Million in a Month
Bitcoin Strategy, a YouTube channel, said Raydium’s revenue rose from about $1.4 million in August to more than $7 million in September, its best month since the summer of last year. The jump began when Stonk Fun, a launchpad for new tokens priced in tokenized stocks, moved all of its launches onto Raydium at the start of September. The host says Stonk Fun now supplies more than a quarter of Raydium’s revenue.
| Metric | Figure |
| Monthly revenue | $1.4M in August, over $7M in September |
| Daily trading fees | Under $500K to about $2.5M within 24 hours |
| Share of Solana DEX trading | About 6% to about 12% |
| Liquidity pool deposits | About $1.3B, up about 20% in 30 days |
| Buybacks | About 3M RAY bought in September, roughly 20 times new supply |
Why Did Raydium Overtake Pump.fun? RAY Wins a $192.2 Million Volume Day
BSCN reported on X that Raydium overtook Pump.fun in 24-hour decentralized exchange volume, $192.2 million against $185.0 million, which lifted it to eighth place among decentralized exchanges globally from ninth the day before.
The figure covers a single day, so it shows where trading was on that day and not a lasting lead. Bitcoin Strategy described a similar crossover on September 30, when he said Raydium passed PumpSwap.
Will Raydium’s Revenue Last? Bitcoin Strategy Flags a One-Customer Risk
Bitcoin Strategy argues that the revenue jump leans heavily on one customer and expects September’s level to settle lower. His main points:
- Fees peaked and faded: Daily fees peaked in the third week of September and fell by more than half by the last weekend of the month, two days before RAY’s September high. They remain more than three times higher than before Stonk Fun arrived.
- One customer: Stonk Fun’s team is anonymous, and he says it collected about four times what Raydium earned in the month, so Raydium may need the launchpad more than the reverse.
- Low leverage: Futures open interest, the total value of open bets, is about $16 million, roughly 3% of market cap, and the funding rate is slightly negative, so he does not see the rally as driven by borrowed money.
Raydium Price Prediction for October 2026: Where Could RAY Trade Each Week?
| Period | Expected Range | Key Levels |
| Oct 8 to 12 | $2.19 to $2.60 | $2.19 needs to hold on dips, with Wednesday’s $2.56 high as the first hurdle. |
| Oct 13 to 19 | $2 to $2.80 | A close above $2.56 puts $2.80 in range, while losing $2.19 brings in the 20-day EMA at $2. |
| Oct 20 to 26 | $2 to $3 | $2.80 is the next hurdle, with $3 beyond it and $2 as the floor. |
| Oct 27 to 31 | $1.58 to $3 | The October 28 Fed decision sets the tone, with $3 as resistance and the 50-day EMA at $1.58 as the floor if $2 fails. |
Raydium Price Prediction for October: Can RAY Reach $2.80 or Fall to $2?
Bullish Case, Target: $2.80
RAY holds $2.19 and the 20-day EMA at $2, then closes a day above Wednesday’s $2.56 high. That opens $2.80, with $3 beyond it, and revenue staying well above August’s level would support the move.
Bearish Case, Risk Level: $2 (20-Day EMA)
RAY loses $2.19 and then the 20-day EMA at $2, which would end the September run. A daily close below it would expose the 50-day EMA at $1.58, and another drop in launchpad fees would fit that path.
FAQs: RAY Outlook for October 2026
RAY could extend toward $2.56 and then $2.80 in October if it holds above $2 and closes above $2.56. A daily close below $2 would put the 50-day EMA at $1.58 in play.
It is unlikely. $5 would need a gain of about 108% from $2.41, more than any completed October in CryptoRank’s data, where the best was 75% in 2024, measured on monthly close. $10 would need about 315%.
Yes, if it loses $2.19 and the 20-day EMA at $2. That is a drop of about 17%, which only October 2025, at 38%, exceeded in the five completed years.
Analyst ties the rally to revenue rising from about $1.4 million in August to over $7 million in September, after the Stonk Fun launchpad moved its launches onto Raydium. BSCN also reports that Raydium passed Pump.fun in 24-hour volume. The same channel warns that launchpad revenue is cyclical and may settle lower.
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