World Cup Prediction Boom Could Lift Robinhood Revenue

World Cup Prediction Boom Could Lift Robinhood Revenue, Bernstein Says

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World Cup Prediction Boom Could Lift Robinhood Revenue, Bernstein Says
  • Bernstein sees strong tailwinds for Robinhood as World Cup prediction volume jumps to $4.8B. 
  • Bernstein projects Robinhood’s prediction-market revenue to reach $586M in 2026. 
  • Hyperliquid MAUs jumped 21.8% to 220.76K despite a broader crypto market downturn.

Bernstein analysts have said Robinhood could see “strong tailwinds” as the Fédération Internationale de Football Association (FIFA) World Cup prediction market volumes rose from $2.2 billion on June 11 to $4.8 billion on June 12. Meanwhile, Hyperliquid’s monthly active users (MAUs) surged 21.8% to 220.76K over five weeks despite a $440 billion crypto market cap wipeout.

Robinhood’s Revenue Projected at $586M as World Cup Predictions Surge

Daily trading volumes in prediction markets have surged sharply in the early stages of the tournament. According to Bernstein analysts, daily turnover has surged from $2.2 billion on June 11 to a record $4.8 billion on June 12, when the U.S. played Paraguay. These figures have already surpassed the $1.4 billion traded during the previous season’s Super Bowl.

Platforms like Robinhood are capitalizing on momentum via partnerships such as Rothera, a CFTC-licensed exchange. Since May 28, Rothera has traded about 200 million contracts in 18 days, with FIFA World Cup and MLB contracts driving nearly all volume. Prediction markets are now Robinhood’s fastest-growing product line, and Bernstein forecasts revenue from the segment could rise from $150 million in 2025 to $586 million in 2026. 

Hyperliquid’s MAUs Surge 21.8% Despite Market Drawdown

Hyperliquid’s MAUs have surged 21.8% to 220.76K over the five weeks ending June 14, 2026, demonstrating strong resilience despite a broad crypto market downturn that erased roughly $440 billion across digital assets.

The platform defied risk-off conditions as Bitcoin (BTC) fell from about 81K to 59K and the altcoin market (TOTAL2) declined 14%. Hyperliquid strengthened its position in perpetual futures, capturing 56.31% of on-chain perp volume and 7.6% of total global perpetual trading activity across centralized and decentralized exchanges.

The data suggests that traders remain highly engaged across both event-driven prediction markets and crypto derivatives. While Robinhood is benefiting from surging World Cup-related activity, Hyperliquid continues to gain users and market share despite broader weakness across digital assets.

Related: FIFA World Cup 2026 Turns Into Crypto Prediction Battleground

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