- XRP price prediction for November 12 stays bearish below $1.10, with $1.00 the round-number support to hold
- US spot XRP ETFs lost $18.04M across November 9 and 10, with $7.62M leaving on Tuesday, per SoSoValue
- October CPI rose 0.4% against a 0.3% forecast, according to Bloomberg, as XRP fell about 3.9% on November 10
XRP price prediction for November 12 stays bearish below $1.10, the level XRP needs to reclaim after losing about 36% from its late-September high.
XRP Price Analysis: Can $1 Hold?
XRP is approaching $1, the support level that held during July and the first half of August. At $1.0565, it trades near the lower Bollinger Band at $1.0553 and below all four daily exponential moving averages.
The nearest is the 20-day EMA at $1.21, followed by the 50-day at $1.2824 and the 100-day at $1.2970. The 200-day EMA sits higher at $1.35, leaving XRP with considerable ground to recover before the broader trend improves.
XRP has lost roughly 36% since its late-September peak near $1.66. Buyers stepped in around $1.03 on November 10, but the bounce has done little to reverse that decline. Price is back inside its summer trading range of $1.00-$1.15, making the lower boundary the key level to watch.
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For November 12, the outlook favors trading between $1 and $1.10 unless buyers can sustain a move above $1.10. A daily close below $1 would break summer support and leave $0.90 as the next downside level to watch.
XRP Support and Resistance Levels, November 12, 2026
| Type | Price | Why it matters |
| Resistance | $1.10 | Round level above price |
| Resistance | $1.21 | 20-day EMA |
| Resistance | $1.28 | 50-day EMA |
| Support | $1.05 | Today’s low, beside the $1.0553 lower band |
| Support | $1.00 | Round level, floor of the summer range |
| Support | $0.90 | Round level below the summer range |
XRP ETFs Lose $7.62M More, Taking Two-Day Outflows to $18.04M
US spot XRP ETFs lost $7.62M on November 10 after losing $10.42M on November 9, which makes $18.04M over two days and follows four sessions with no flows from November 3 to 6 according to SoSoValue.
That is just under the $18.11M that left on March 9. Grayscale’s GXRP accounted for $7.17M of Tuesday’s outflow, about 94%, and Canary’s XRPC for $449.76K. Total net assets fell to $1.19B from $1.34B on November 6, a drop of about 11%, and the outflows were only about 12% of that drop, so most of it came from price.
Hotter October CPI Adds to the Pressure on XRP
Headline CPI rose 0.4% in October against a 0.3% forecast, and core CPI rose 0.3% against the 0.2% economists expected, Bloomberg reported. XRP fell about 3.9% on November 10, from $1.0977 at the open to near $1.0553.
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Walter Bloomberg said core inflation has accelerated to 3.7% annualized over the past three months, the highest since January 2025. He said supercore inflation, which strips out housing and food, reached 5.5%, the fastest since April 2024. Faster core inflation is a headwind for risk assets such as XRP, which fits a price that has not been able to hold $1.10.
Ripple’s David Schwartz Says He Has Sold Most of His XRP
Ripple’s David Schwartz (@JoelKatz) said in a thread on November 9 that he has sold nearly all of the digital assets he has ever held and has not bought XRP in a long time. In a further reply, he put his holdings at around 3 million XRP, down from a high of around 26 million.
He said he sells under a written plan locked in with an attorney at least 30 days before each sale. He also said he sold about 2.5 million XRP in 2025 and paid about $1.7 million in capital gains tax.
A viral post spreading the story claims he holds only Ripple stock, but his own reply shows he still holds about 3 million XRP. That is worth about $3.2 million at today’s price, less than half of Tuesday’s $7.62M ETF outflow. Only the 2025 sale is dated, so the thread reads as a sentiment headline, not a new supply event.
XRP Price Prediction Scenarios for November 12
Bullish Case, Target: $1.10
XRP holds today’s low at $1.0461, closes above today’s high at $1.0638 and then reclaims $1.10, about 4% above today’s price. A close above it would open the 20-day EMA at $1.2066, about 14% higher. A pause in ETF outflows and a calmer market reaction to inflation data would fit this path.
Bearish Case, Risk Level: $1 (Floor of the Summer Range)
XRP closes below today’s low at $1.0461 and the $1.03 wick low from November 10, then $1.00, about 5% below today’s price. That would put $0.90 in play, about 15% lower. A third day of ETF outflows and more hot inflation data would fit this path.
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FAQs
XRP stays bearish below $1.10 and could move toward that level if it holds today’s low at $1.0461 and closes above $1.0638. A daily close below $1.00 would put $0.90 in play.
XRP fell about 3.9% on November 10 and trades about 36% below its late-September high near $1.66, under all four daily EMAs. October CPI came in hotter than expected and US spot XRP ETFs lost $18.04M over two days, though none of the data in this analysis ties the drop to a single cause.
US spot XRP ETFs lost $7.62M on November 10 and $10.42M on November 9, according to SoSoValue, after four sessions with no flows. Cumulative net inflow stands at $1.79B.
$1.00, the floor of the July to mid-August range, is the key support, with today’s low at $1.0461 above it. A close below $1.00 would put $0.90 in play.
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