XRP Price Prediction: Weak Momentum Persists as Open Interest Stabilizes Near $2.8 Billion

• XRP struggles below major EMA resistance as bullish momentum continues fading further
• Open interest collapse signals lower trader confidence across XRP futures market
• Weak exchange inflows continue limiting XRP recovery attempts near support levels

XRP continued to struggle near key resistance levels this week as weakening momentum and declining trader activity kept the token under pressure. The cryptocurrency traded around $1.35 after failing to maintain gains above an important Fibonacci resistance zone. Besides broader crypto market weakness, fading speculative demand also weighed heavily on XRP’s recovery prospects. 

XRP Faces Heavy Resistance Pressure

XRP maintained a weak-to-neutral daily structure as sellers defended several technical barriers. The token traded below the 20-day, 50-day, and 100-day exponential moving averages, highlighting continued short-term weakness. Additionally, the 200-day EMA near $1.67 remained a major obstacle for any sustained bullish reversal.

The latest pullback started after XRP failed to hold above the 0.786 Fibonacci retracement level near $1.49. Consequently, the price slipped toward the lower retracement zone around $1.34. Buyers attempted to stabilize the market near the $1.30 support area, yet upside momentum remained limited.

Technical indicators also reflected slowing market strength. The Bollinger Band %B indicator stayed near subdued levels, signaling reduced volatility and a lack of aggressive buying activity. Hence, XRP may continue moving sideways unless bulls reclaim the clustered EMA resistance levels.

Key resistance zones now sit near $1.38, $1.41, and $1.49. A breakout above those levels could revive bullish momentum and push XRP toward $1.55. Moreover, a stronger rally may open the door toward the 1.618 Fibonacci extension near $1.71.

On the downside, immediate support remains around $1.34, followed by the psychological $1.30 region. A deeper decline below $1.28 could trigger another wave of selling pressure.

Open Interest Declines After Massive Rally

XRP derivatives data showed a dramatic shift in trader participation during the past year. Open interest remained below $1 billion for months before surging sharply during XRP’s explosive rally in late 2025. The metric later climbed above $10 billion as speculative activity intensified across the futures market.

However, the trend reversed after XRP lost momentum. Traders gradually reduced leveraged positions as volatility cooled. Recent figures showed open interest stabilizing near $2.8 billion, reflecting lower risk appetite and a calmer market environment.

Exchange Flows Continue Signaling Caution

Spot inflow and outflow data also painted a cautious picture for XRP. Persistent exchange outflows dominated recent months, with several periods recording net outflows exceeding $100 million. Additionally, XRP’s price steadily weakened from above $3.00 toward the current $1.30 to $1.50 range.

Although recent outflows appeared smaller, buyers still lacked the strong inflows needed for a sustainable rebound. Consequently, market confidence remained fragile as traders monitored broader crypto sentiment and macroeconomic conditions.

Technical Outlook For XRP Price

Key levels remain critical for XRP as price consolidates below major moving averages after losing momentum near the upper Fibonacci resistance zone.

Upside levels: $1.3880, $1.4190, and $1.4950 remain the immediate resistance hurdles. A confirmed breakout above this range could open the path toward $1.5516 and potentially the 1.618 Fibonacci extension near $1.7152.

Downside levels: $1.3490 serves as the first support zone, followed by the psychological $1.30 level and deeper support near $1.2869. Losing these levels could accelerate bearish momentum and expose XRP to further downside pressure.

Resistance ceiling: The 200-day EMA near $1.6752 remains the major level bulls must reclaim to restore broader bullish market structure. XRP also continues trading below the 20-day, 50-day, and 100-day EMAs, reinforcing short-term weakness.

The technical structure suggests XRP is stabilizing inside a broader consolidation range after its sharp correction from yearly highs. Momentum indicators remain subdued, while Bollinger Band compression points toward a potential volatility expansion ahead. However, market direction will likely depend on whether buyers regain control above the clustered EMA resistance zone.

Will XRP Go Up?

XRP price prediction for the coming weeks depends heavily on whether bulls can defend the $1.30–$1.34 accumulation region while rebuilding momentum above $1.40. Open interest has cooled significantly after peaking above $10 billion, signaling reduced speculative activity and a more cautious trading environment.

At the same time, exchange flow data continues showing dominant outflows, reflecting lingering selling pressure across the market. Still, recent outflows have started slowing, suggesting bearish momentum may gradually stabilize.

If buyers reclaim $1.4950 with stronger spot inflows and rising market participation, XRP could challenge $1.5516 and eventually target $1.7152. Failure to hold the $1.30 support region, however, may trigger another corrective leg toward $1.2869 and lower levels.