- Cardano price prediction for November 11 stays bearish below $0.1939, with $0.1716 the floor ADA must hold
- Coinglass shows Cardano open interest up 5.61% to $374.76M while futures volume fell 18.15%
- LuckSide Crypto says ADA must choose a direction by Wednesday, with about $0.19 the first level to reclaim
Cardano price prediction for November 11 stays bearish below $0.19, the level ADA needs to reclaim after bouncing from $0.17.
Cardano Price Analysis: Can ADA Reclaim $0.19?
ADA needs a daily close above $0.1939, the 20-day EMA, to turn the short-term trend. Price at $0.1795, up 4.30% over 24 hours per Coinglass, is below all four daily averages, with the 50-day at $0.2079, the 100-day at $0.2109 and the 200-day at $0.2312. It sits about 8% under the 20-day and about 29% under the 200-day.
ADA bounced from $0.1716, which matches the August low and the support zone marked on the chart, and has gained about 5% since. RSI at 34.04 is close to oversold, so the drop is stretched, but RSI has only just started to lift.
ADA looks more likely to trade between $0.1716 and $0.1939 on November 11 than to clear $0.1939, and a daily close below $0.1716 would put the $0.14 zone in play.
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ADA Support and Resistance Levels, November 11, 2026
| Type | Price | Why it matters |
| Resistance | $0.1833 | 24-hour high |
| Resistance | $0.1939 | 20-day EMA |
| Resistance | $0.2079 | 50-day EMA |
| Support | $0.1716 | 24-hour low, near the August low |
| Support | $0.1600 | Round level above the next zone |
| Support | $0.1400 | June low zone |
LuckSide Says ADA Must Choose a Direction by Wednesday
LuckSide Crypto said ADA is still inside a descending wedge that ends on Thursday, so it has to decide by Wednesday whether to break lower or bounce and retest about 19 cents, with $0.2330 next.
That puts the decision on November 11, the day this forecast covers, and 19 cents is close to the $0.1939 level on our chart. He named mid-week CPI and PPI inflation reports and Bitcoin’s test of its 20-week average as the market risks, after the third time in a week that leveraged liquidations topped $1 billion.
Meanwhile, Altcoin Daily (@AltcoinDaily) shared a clip of the Cardano founder saying the token of Midnight, NIGHT, could overtake ADA in value. He said Midnight’s growth would bring many new users to Cardano, and that he does not see Midnight growing while Cardano stagnates.
Cardano Derivatives: The Bounce Is Led by Leverage, Not Spot Buying
ADA’s bounce is led by derivatives, not spot buying. Open interest rose 5.61% to $374.76 million while futures volume fell 18.15%, so traders added positions on cooling activity.
Shorts took 63% of the $278.47K in 24-hour liquidations, which are positions closed by force when a trade runs out of margin, so the move to $0.1833 was partly a short squeeze. In the last 12 hours longs took 68% of a much smaller $42.50K, which suggests the squeeze has run its course.
Spot volume fell 13.90%, so a further rise needs fresh spot demand. Funding of 0.0066% shows longs are not yet crowded.
| Metric | Value | What it shows |
| Open interest | $374.76M, up 5.61% | Positions added into the bounce |
| Futures volume | $282.58M, down 18.15% | Trading activity cooling |
| Spot volume | $41.57M, down 13.90% | Weak spot demand |
| 24h liquidations | $278.47K, shorts 63% | Short squeeze on the way up |
| Funding rate | 0.0066% | Longs not crowded |
Cardano Price Prediction Scenarios for November 11
Bullish Case, Target: $0.1939
ADA holds $0.1716, closes above the 24-hour high at $0.1833 and reaches $0.1939, about 8% above today’s price. A close above it would open the 50-day EMA at $0.2079, about 16% higher. A steady Bitcoin through this week’s CPI and PPI reports would fit this path.
Bearish Case, Risk Level: $0.1716 (August Low)
ADA closes below $0.1716, which would put the $0.16 round level in play, about 11% below today’s price, and then the $0.14 zone, about 22% lower. A Bitcoin break below its 20-week average and another wave of liquidations would fit this path.
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FAQs
ADA stays bearish below $0.1939 and could move toward that level if it holds $0.1716 and closes above the 24-hour high at $0.1833. A daily close below $0.1716 would put the $0.14 zone in play.
ADA is up 4.30% over 24 hours at $0.1795, according to Coinglass, and shorts took 63% of the $278.47K liquidated in that time. That points to a short squeeze, and none of the data in this analysis ties the rise to a single cause.
$0.1716, the 24-hour low and near the August low, is the key support. A close below it would put the $0.16 round level and then the $0.14 zone in play.
ADA is about 11% below $0.20 and would first need to close above $0.1939, the 20-day EMA. The $0.2079 level, the 50-day EMA, sits just beyond it.
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