- XRP bearish CRT setup failed as buyers pushed price back above the key range.
- Holding above $1.4147 keeps the bullish structure intact, with $1.45 as the first resistance.
- A break above $1.45 could open the way toward the $1.4961 upside target.
The expected XRP bearish move based on CRT continuation failed. Price briefly dropped below the reference candle’s range before quickly moving back up. This suggests buyers are in control for now. If XRP stays above $1.4147, price could move toward the $1.4961 target.
| CHART PRICE | STRUCTURE | KEY SUPPORT | UPSIDE TARGET |
| $1.4372 | Failed CRT | $1.4147 | $1.4961 |
What Happened
Traders expected XRP to fall after the September 20 CRT setup, but the price bounced back instead. CRT (Candle Range Theory) uses a candle’s high and low as key levels and watches how price reacts around them. Here, buyers stepped in and pushed the price higher.
Source: TradingView
Failed CRT and Liquidity Sweep
A liquidity sweep happens when price briefly moves past a key level, triggers stop orders, and then reverses.
That’s what happened with XRP on September 20. Price dropped to around $1.37, below the reference candle’s low of about $1.39. This also matched the 0.382 Fibonacci level, which traders use to identify possible pullback areas.
Sellers were unable to push the price lower. XRP moved back into the range, causing the bearish CRT signal to fail.
Now, the four-hour chart shows what happened next. XRP formed higher lows after the sweep and moved back above $1.4147. The latest candle dipped to $1.4142 but held, showing a retest of the level from above.
$1.45 Reaction Zone
The first resistance is around $1.45, the top of the reference candle. Sellers pushed price down from this level on September 19, leaving a long wick. XRP is currently about 1% below $1.45. A four-hour close above $1.45 would suggest buyers are gaining more control.
The next target is $1.4961, the September 14 high. This level could attract price because traders who sold below that high may have stop-loss orders above it. Those stops become buy orders when triggered. The level is about 4.1% above the current price.
Source: TradingView
Potential Short-Squeeze Dynamic
A short squeeze happens when traders who bet on a price drop are forced to buy back their positions. This buying can push the price higher and trigger more buying.
If XRP breaks above $1.45, short positions will come under pressure. However, leverage can also increase losses if price moves against traders.
Key Levels
| Level | Role |
| $1.4961 | Upside target and September 14 high |
| $1.45 | Reference candle high and first resistance |
| $1.4147 | Key level for acceptance |
| $1.39 | Reference candle low, swept on September 20 |
| $1.2919 | Deeper support if the reclaim fails |
Continuation Case
Holding above $1.4147 keeps the reclaim intact. A four-hour close above $1.45 opens the way toward $1.4961.
Failure Case
A four-hour close below $1.4147, followed by a break below $1.39, would weaken the bullish structure and expose $1.2919.
Bottom Line
The failed CRT, four-hour reclaim and $1.4147 hold could support a move toward $1.4961. Watch $1.45 first.
The price moved below the reference candle’s low, but sellers failed to push it lower. Buyers stepped in and pushed the price back up.
It shows buyers regained control after the sell-off. Staying above $1.4147 supports the current bullish structure.
Price failed to move lower at this common pullback level. Buyers then stepped in and pushed the price higher.
It is the September 14 high and may trigger stop orders from short traders.
A four-hour close below $1.4147, followed by a break below $1.39, would weaken the bullish setup.
Related: XRP Price Prediction Q4 2026: ChatGPT, Claude, Grok and Gemini Don’t Agree
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