XRP Price Prediction: Can Bulls Defend $1.10 as Selling Pressure Intensifies?

• XRP remains bearish, trading below all major EMAs, signaling weak trend control
• Key resistance at $1.17–$1.24 caps recovery while $1.05 remains critical support
• Open interest stabilizes near $2–$3B as capital outflows keep sentiment cautious

XRP continues to trade under pressure as weakening capital flows and subdued derivatives activity reinforce a cautious market outlook. Although the token recently rebounded from local lows, technical indicators suggest buyers have yet to regain meaningful control. 

Market participants now focus on several key resistance levels that could determine whether XRP can extend its recovery or resume its broader decline. At the same time, open interest trends and spot market flows reveal a market that remains hesitant despite signs of stabilization in speculative activity.

Technical Structure Remains Fragile

XRP currently changes hands near $1.15 after suffering a steep decline from its mid-May highs. The asset remains below its 20-day, 50-day, 100-day, and 200-day exponential moving averages. This positioning highlights persistent bearish momentum across multiple timeframes.

Moreover, the moving average structure continues to favor sellers. Shorter-term averages remain below longer-term averages, signaling that downward pressure still dominates the market. The Donchian Channel also places XRP near the lower end of its trading range, further supporting the view that bulls have not yet established a convincing recovery.

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Immediate support sits between $1.095 and $1.105, where buyers previously emerged. Below that zone, $1.05 represents a critical technical floor. A breakdown beneath this level could expose XRP to a deeper decline toward the psychologically important $1.00 mark.

On the upside, resistance begins between $1.17 and $1.19. Beyond that, XRP must overcome the $1.20 to $1.24 retracement zone before challenging the more significant barriers at $1.30 and $1.38.

Open Interest Signals More Balanced Conditions

Derivatives data paints a different picture than the highly speculative environment seen during XRP’s rally toward multi-year highs. Open interest remained relatively muted for much of the observed period before surging dramatically during major price advances.

That speculative expansion eventually pushed open interest above $10 billion as traders aggressively increased leveraged exposure. However, the subsequent decline in both price and open interest reflected widespread position unwinding.

Recently, open interest stabilized between $2 billion and $3 billion. Consequently, the market appears less dependent on excessive leverage. This shift may reduce volatility risks while creating a healthier foundation for future price discovery.

Capital Outflows Continue to Weigh on Sentiment

Spot flow data shows that capital continues to leave the XRP market more frequently than it enters. While several accumulation phases emerged throughout the period, sellers maintained the upper hand overall.

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Significantly, a large outflow event during late November marked the strongest wave of capital exits. Since then, negative netflows have persisted despite occasional buying bursts. Moreover, these continued outflows have largely mirrored XRP’s declining price trajectory.

Technical Outlook For XRP Price

Key levels remain clearly defined as XRP attempts to stabilize following a prolonged correction.

Upside levels: $1.19, $1.24, and $1.30 represent the first major hurdles for buyers. A decisive breakout above this resistance cluster could pave the way toward $1.38 and $1.45, where stronger selling pressure previously emerged.

Downside levels: Immediate support rests at $1.10, followed by the critical $1.05 breakdown zone and the psychological $1.00 level. A loss of $1.05 could accelerate downside momentum and trigger another wave of selling.

Resistance ceiling: The $1.24–$1.30 region remains the most important area to reclaim for a medium-term bullish shift. XRP continues to trade below its major moving averages, keeping the broader trend under pressure.

The technical picture suggests XRP is attempting to form a base after a sharp decline. However, price remains trapped beneath key resistance while spot market outflows continue to outweigh sustained accumulation. Meanwhile, open interest has stabilized after a significant deleveraging phase, indicating reduced speculative excess and a more balanced derivatives market.

Will XRP Go Up?

XRP’s next move will largely depend on whether buyers can defend the $1.10 support area and generate enough momentum to reclaim $1.19–$1.24 resistance. A successful breakout could shift sentiment and open the door toward $1.30, $1.38, and potentially $1.45.

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However, failure to overcome resistance may reinforce the prevailing bearish structure. In that scenario, XRP could revisit $1.05 and potentially test the $1.00 psychological support level. For now, XRP remains at a pivotal technical crossroads where improving capital inflows and stronger buying conviction will be needed to confirm a sustainable recovery.