XRP Price Prediction: Can Bulls Reclaim $1.10 as Leverage Continues to Cool?

• XRP trades below major EMAs, keeping sellers firmly in control of the trend.
• Open interest drop signals weaker leverage and lower speculative activity.
• Exchange outflows suggest holders keep accumulating despite weak price action.

XRP continues to trade under pressure after losing momentum from its early July advance. The token now hovers near $1.08 as sellers maintain control across the broader trend. Technical indicators still favor caution because XRP remains below every major exponential moving average. 

Technical Structure Keeps Bulls on the Defensive

XRP trades below the 20-day, 50-day, 100-day, and 200-day exponential moving averages. This alignment continues to reflect a bearish technical structure. Additionally, repeated failures near resistance show buyers have not regained enough strength to reverse the trend.

The first area to watch sits near $1.0757, which aligns with the 0.236 Fibonacci retracement level. If that support fails, XRP could quickly revisit the recent swing low around $1.0088. Consequently, the psychological $1.00 level remains an important defense zone for buyers.

However, recovery remains possible if XRP clears nearby resistance. The 20-day EMA near $1.1049 represents the first barrier. 

Beyond that, Fibonacci resistance levels around $1.1172, $1.1500, and $1.1841 could determine whether bullish momentum returns. Moreover, a sustained move above those levels would shift attention toward $1.2318 and $1.2925.

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Momentum indicators also suggest the market has entered a waiting phase. The Stochastic RSI has moved back toward the midpoint after cooling from overbought conditions. Hence, traders may need fresh buying activity before momentum improves.

Open Interest Signals Reduced Speculation

Derivatives data reveals a sharp decline in XRP open interest from levels above $10 billion earlier this year. Open interest now stands near $2.28 billion, showing that speculative positions have fallen significantly.

This reduction suggests many leveraged traders have exited following XRP’s correction. Additionally, lower leverage reduces the likelihood of aggressive liquidation events that often increase short-term volatility. A future rise in both price and open interest would indicate renewed confidence among market participants.

Exchange Outflows Support a Long-Term View

Spot market activity offers a more constructive signal despite weak price action. Exchange outflows continue to exceed inflows across most trading sessions. This pattern often suggests investors prefer holding XRP in private wallets instead of preparing to sell.

Earlier periods recorded several large outflows exceeding $100 million. More recently, netflows have stabilized closer to neutral, with the latest reading showing a modest $2.97 million outflow. 

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Consequently, exchange selling pressure appears contained, even while XRP remains below major resistance. The next directional move will likely depend on whether buyers reclaim key technical levels.

Technical Outlook for XRP Price

Key levels remain in focus as XRP attempts to stabilize after its recent pullback:

Upside levels: $1.105 (20-day EMA), $1.117 (0.382 Fibonacci), and $1.150 (0.50 Fibonacci) serve as the first resistance cluster. A sustained breakout above these levels could open the door to $1.184 (0.618 Fibonacci), followed by $1.232 and $1.293.

Downside levels: Immediate support rests at $1.076 (0.236 Fibonacci), followed by the recent swing low at $1.009. A decisive break below this zone would expose the psychological $1.00 level and increase bearish pressure.

Resistance ceiling: The 50-day EMA near $1.161 remains the key barrier for a medium-term trend reversal. XRP must reclaim this level before buyers can target the higher Fibonacci resistance zone.

The technical structure still favors caution, with XRP trading below all major moving averages. However, the Stochastic RSI has returned to neutral territory, suggesting bearish momentum is fading and leaving room for a potential recovery if buying volume strengthens.

Will XRP Go Up?

XRP’s next move depends on whether buyers can defend the $1.076-$1.00 support region while reclaiming resistance above $1.105. Persistent exchange outflows indicate investors continue moving tokens into self-custody, reducing immediate selling pressure, while lower open interest suggests speculative leverage has cooled after the recent correction. 

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If fresh demand enters the market and XRP breaks above $1.150-$1.184, the rally could extend toward $1.232 and $1.293. Conversely, losing the $1.076 support would likely shift momentum back in favor of sellers and increase the probability of a retest of the $1.00 area before a more meaningful recovery develops.