XRP Price Prediction: Can Buyers Push XRP Above $1.15 as Exchange Outflows Continue?

• XRP holds above $1.08 support, but major EMAs continue to reinforce bearish pressure.
• Exchange outflows suggest holders are accumulating despite subdued market sentiment.
• Rising price with higher open interest would confirm stronger bullish participation.

XRP has started to show signs of stability after weeks of sustained selling pressure, giving traders a reason to monitor the market more closely. The token currently trades near $1.11 after defending an important support area around $1.08. 

Although buyers have slowed the recent decline, the broader trend still favors sellers because XRP remains below every major exponential moving average. Consequently, market participants continue to treat the latest rebound as a recovery attempt rather than the beginning of a lasting bullish trend.

Technical Structure Still Favors Caution

The daily chart continues to reflect a bearish market structure despite the recent bounce. The 20-day, 50-day, 100-day, and 200-day exponential moving averages remain stacked in bearish order. That alignment signals that downward momentum still dominates the higher timeframe.

However, momentum indicators suggest selling pressure has eased. The Bollinger Band %B has climbed toward the middle of its range, showing that XRP has recovered from oversold conditions. Even so, the indicator does not yet support an aggressive bullish outlook.

The $1.08 region remains the most important support level in the near term. A sustained move below that area could expose the psychological $1.00 level. Besides, losing that support would likely strengthen bearish momentum and encourage additional selling.

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On the upside, XRP must first reclaim resistance between $1.15 and $1.16. A successful breakout could shift attention toward the $1.18 to $1.23 range. Moreover, the 100-day and 200-day exponential moving averages remain significant obstacles before any long-term trend reversal gains credibility.

Derivatives Activity Reflects Lower Speculation

Open interest has steadily declined after previously exceeding $10 billion. Current readings near $2.41 billion highlight a sharp reduction in leveraged positions across the derivatives market. Consequently, traders appear more interested in closing positions than opening new ones.

Lower open interest often reduces market volatility because excessive leverage leaves the system. Additionally, a future increase in both price and open interest would provide stronger evidence that fresh capital has returned to XRP.

Exchange Outflows Offer a Positive Signal

Spot market activity continues to present a more constructive picture. Exchange data shows persistent net outflows despite occasional inflow spikes. That trend suggests many investors continue moving XRP into private wallets instead of preparing tokens for immediate sales.

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Recent netflows remain modestly negative near $78.6K while XRP trades around $1.11. Hence, exchange selling pressure appears limited. However, stronger buying demand must emerge before XRP can challenge higher resistance levels and establish a more convincing recovery.

Technical Outlook for XRP Price

Key levels remain clearly defined as XRP attempts to build a base above the critical $1.08 support zone.

Upside levels: $1.1230 is the first resistance, followed by the $1.1500–$1.1563 zone. A decisive breakout above this area could pave the way toward $1.1842 and $1.2318. Clearing the 100-day EMA at $1.2542 would strengthen the bullish case, while reclaiming the 200-day EMA near $1.4612 would signal a broader trend reversal.

Downside levels: Immediate support sits at $1.0879, followed by $1.0757. A break below these levels would expose the key psychological support at $1.00, where buyers are expected to defend aggressively.

Resistance ceiling: The $1.15–$1.16 region remains the most important near-term hurdle. Until XRP closes above this zone, rallies could continue to face selling pressure.

Will XRP Go Up?

XRP’s near-term outlook depends on whether buyers can maintain support above $1.08 while attracting fresh market participation. Although exchange outflows continue to suggest accumulation, declining open interest shows that leveraged traders remain cautious. 

If price breaks above $1.15 with rising volume and improving derivatives activity, XRP could extend its recovery toward $1.18–$1.23 before challenging the 100-day EMA. 

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However, losing the $1.08 support would likely shift momentum back to sellers and increase the probability of a retest of the $1.00 psychological level. For now, XRP remains in a critical consolidation phase, with the next decisive move likely setting the tone for the weeks ahead.