Bitcoin’s outlook weakened after US inflation data offered little support for a near-term Federal Reserve rate cut, according to CoinShares. The firm said crypto investment flows turned negative as investors reassessed expectations for easier monetary policy.
Headline consumer prices rose in line with expectations, while core inflation came in slightly hotter than forecast. The figures reduced expectations for near-term easing, adding pressure to risk-sensitive assets such as Bitcoin.
CPI Adds Pressure on Bitcoin
CoinShares said digital asset investment products recorded $243 million in weekly outflows, reversing about $1.3 billion of inflows the previous week. Bitcoin traded around $77,000 to $78,000 after failing to hold above $80,000.
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The firm said persistent inflation could keep Federal Reserve policy restrictive for longer, limiting the appeal of riskier assets. A weaker inflation reading or clearer signals of rate cuts could provide Bitcoin with a stronger backdrop.
Treasury Pressure Builds
CoinShares also pointed to pressure in the US Treasury market, where a government bond-buyback program has struggled to push longer-term yields lower.
The firm said that weakness could eventually benefit Bitcoin if greater Treasury intervention fuels concerns about dollar value or increased government influence over monetary policy.
The Federal Reserve’s Sept. 15–16 meeting is the next major test for crypto markets. CoinShares’ outlook suggests policy signals around future rate cuts will remain important for Bitcoin.
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