- Solana price prediction for November stays bearish below $98.04, with $91.39 the floor to hold
- US spot Solana ETFs lost $143.71M in October, ending a three-month inflow run, per SoSoValue
- SOL’s median November return is +3.11%, per CryptoRank, though the data starts in 2020
Solana price prediction for November stays bearish below $98.04, the 200-day average SOL needs to reclaim after October’s 19.2% drop.
Can Solana Hold $91 After a 27% Slide?
SOL tested $91 support today, dipping to $91.14 before recovering to $91.62, down 0.26% on the day. That leaves SOL just above the lower Bollinger Band at $91.39.
SOL has fallen roughly 27% from its late-September high near $125. A sharp late-October selloff pushed the price below its major moving averages and into the low $90s. Since then, small daily candles near the lower band suggest buyers have yet to mount a sustained rebound.
A daily close above the 200-day EMA at $98.04 would mark the first sign of recovery. The next hurdle sits near $100, where the 100-day EMA ($99.66), 20-day EMA ($100.09) and Bollinger midline ($100.71) converge. The 50-day EMA at $103.12 marks the next resistance level.
For the first half of November, an $88 to $98 trading range looks more likely than a breakout above $100. A daily close below $90 would expose the range floor at $88. If that support gives way, $80 comes into view.
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SOL Support and Resistance Levels, November 2026
| Type | Price | Why it matters |
| Resistance | $98.04 | 200-day EMA |
| Resistance | $100.09 | 20-day EMA, beside the band midline at $100.71 |
| Resistance | $103.12 | 50-day EMA |
| Support | $91.39 | Lower Bollinger Band |
| Support | $90 | Round level just below today’s low |
| Support | $80 | Round level |
Solana ETFs Lose $143.71M in October
US spot Solana ETFs lost $143.71M in October, their first monthly outflow since June and by far the largest in the table according to SoSoValue. It ended three straight months of inflows that took in $479.77M between July and September.
Total net assets fell to $1.40B from $1.91B, a drop of about 27%. Most of that came from price, since SOL fell 19.2% while the outflow was about 7.5% of end-September assets.
Binance Hackers Start Swapping Stolen SOL for Bitcoin
Hackers behind the $6.3 billion Binance theft began swapping stolen SOL for Bitcoin through Relay, Lookonchain reported Sunday. The attackers moved 486,970 SOL worth about $46.4 million. How much they converted remains unclear.
Chainalysis said the attackers had emptied most of their temporary Tron wallets as laundering activity spread to Solana. Tether and Circle froze about $3 billion in stolen assets. Blockchain investigator SomaXBT estimated the attackers still controlled roughly $3.5 billion across assets.
For scale, the $46.4 million transfer equaled roughly one-third of October’s net Solana ETF outflows. It also represented less than 4% of the funds’ $1.36 billion in assets. For SOL’s November outlook, the pace of further swaps matters more than the initial transfer. Repeated conversions could add selling pressure, particularly if buyers struggle to hold $91.
Solana Seasonality: November’s Median Is Positive
SOL fell 19.2% in October, its second straight October loss. Only October 2020 was worse, with a 46.7% decline.
| CryptoRank history | SOL’s performance |
| October since 2020 | SOL gained in 3 of 7 Octobers. |
| November since 2020 | SOL gained in 4 of 6 Novembers, with a median return of +3.11%. |
| November after an October loss | SOL rebounded 27.5% in 2020, then fell 56.6% in 2022 and 28.3% in 2025. |
The 2022 decline was the only U.S. midterm November in the sample, giving traders little basis for an election-year comparison.
What it means for price: A gain matching November’s median would lift SOL from $91.62 to about $94.47. Reclaiming the 200-day EMA at $98.04 would require a roughly 7% rally, more than twice the historical median.
Solana Price Prediction: Week-by-Week Forecast for November 2026
The base case has SOL ranging between $85 and $101, testing the lower band once more and meeting resistance at the $98 to $101 cluster on its first bounce.
| Period | Expected range | Key levels | What decides it |
| Nov 3 to 9 | $88 to $98 | $91.39 support, $98.04 resistance | Whether the lower band holds |
| Nov 10 to 16 | $85 to $100 | $90 support, $100.09 resistance | A first bounce into the average cluster |
| Nov 17 to 23 | $82 to $101 | $90 support, $100.71 resistance | Whether ETF flows turn positive |
| Nov 24 to 30 | $80 to $104 | $80 support, $103.12 resistance | Direction into month-end |
Solana Price Prediction: Bullish and Bearish Scenarios for November
Bullish Case, Target: $103
SOL holds $91.39, closes above the 200-day EMA at $98.04 and clears the 100-day at $99.66 and the 20-day at $100.09. That would open the 50-day EMA at $103.12, with the upper Bollinger Band at $110.03 beyond it. ETF flows turning positive in November would fit this path.
Bearish Case, Risk Level: $80
SOL closes below the lower band at $91.39 and the $90 round level, which would put $80 in play. A close below that would expose the August low near $71. Fresh ETF outflows and more stolen-SOL sales would fit this path.
Related: Cash Cat Price Prediction: Derivatives Activity Stabilizes Despite Broader Bearish Pressure
FAQs
SOL stays bearish below $98.04 and could move toward $103 if it closes above the 200-day, 100-day and 20-day EMAs. A daily close below $90 would put $80 in play.
November has been mildly positive, with a median return of +3.11% and gains in 4 of 6 completed years, according to CryptoRank data. The two losses were deep, at -56.6% in 2022 and -28.3% in 2025, and the data starts only in 2020.
US spot Solana ETFs lost $143.71M in October, ending three straight months of inflows, according to SoSoValue. Cumulative net inflows stand at $1.47B.
Lookonchain reported that the hackers moved 486,970 SOL, worth about $46.4 million, and began swapping it for Bitcoin through Relay. Chainalysis says the laundering has spread to Solana. The amount is small next to SOL’s market, but investigators say billions of stolen assets remain unrecovered.
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