XRP Price Prediction: Can XRP Reach $1.61 or Fall to $1.34 This Month?

• XRP price prediction stays bullish above $1.3789, needing $1.4572 to extend toward $1.61
• XRP spot ETFs added $8.17 million on October 8, the only inflow among major crypto funds that day
• Bitcoin ETFs lost $244 million and Ether ETFs lost $73 million the same day, CoinDesk data shows

XRP price prediction for October 10 stays bullish above $1.38, the level XRP needs to hold after bouncing back from yesterday’s drop.

XRP Price Analysis: Can XRP Reclaim Its Broken Trendline?

XRP trades near $1.3990, up 1.41% today, trying to recover above a rising trendline that yesterday’s sharp drop broke. That trendline had guided the climb since the August low and sits close to the 200-day EMA at $1.3789, so today’s move is an attempt to reclaim a lost level rather than a hold at support. Meanwhile, the 50-day EMA at $1.3984 sits almost exactly at today’s price.

Overhead, price is still under the 20-day EMA at $1.4572, the next hurdle on the way up. If XRP fails to reclaim the trendline, the 200-day EMA at $1.3789 becomes the next test, with the 100-day EMA at $1.3359 below it. Above price, the upper line of the triangle that has capped rallies since the late-September high runs toward about $1.61 by late October.

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XRP Support and Resistance Levels for October 10, 2026

XRP News: XRP ETFs Post the Only Inflow as Bitcoin and Ether Funds Bleed

XRP ETFs were the only US spot crypto funds in the green on October 8, adding $8.17 million, all of it into Franklin Templeton’s XRPZ. Every other major crypto fund category lost money that day.

Bitcoin ETFs had also lost $485 million the day before, so Thursday’s outflow extended a rough stretch for BTC funds. XRP’s cumulative net inflow stands at $1.80 billion, with total net assets at $1.56 billion.

XRP News: Why Did the Crypto Market Fall Yesterday?

Two developments weighed on crypto on October 8:

• A $1 billion Bitcoin wallet move – Arkham data showed wallets tied to the US government moved 12,267 BTC, worth about $1.01 billion, from a Bitfinex-hack seizure wallet to new, unlabeled addresses, according to CoinDesk. No exchange deposit followed, which points to a reshuffle rather than a sale. A day earlier, about 3,200 BTC and $119 million in USDT had landed at Coinbase Prime deposit addresses, a pattern more often tied to custody or a pending sale.
• Hawkish Fed minutes – Minutes released Wednesday showed Fed officials expect another rate hike before year-end to fight inflation that’s stayed above target for five years, CNBC reported. Core PCE, the Fed’s preferred inflation gauge, sat at 3% for August, still above the 2% target, and Treasury yields have climbed to levels not seen since 2002. The Fed’s next two meetings fall on October 28 and December 9, though the minutes gave no specific timing for the next move.

XRP News: Ripple Expands Into Wall Street’s Leveraged ETF Business

Ripple has become a serious player in swap financing for leveraged ETFs, the derivatives contracts that let funds double or triple their daily exposure to a stock or index, the Wall Street Journal reported on October 7. Ripple entered the business last year through its $1.25 billion purchase of prime brokerage Hidden Road, now called Ripple Prime. This week, Ripple Prime also agreed to provide prime brokerage and clearing to hedge fund Brevan Howard, and its president, Noel Kimmel, called swaps “a growing and meaningful part of our business.”

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The business carries real risk, however. ETF strategist Todd Sohn of Baird Strategas said swap costs act “like a termite almost,” chipping away at leveraged fund returns, and pointed to the Defiance Daily Target 2x Long MSTR ETF, down 53% year-to-date against a 0.9% gain for the underlying stock. The report also noted that an extreme single-day drop in an underlying asset could wipe out a leveraged fund’s equity, which would leave swap providers like Ripple exposed on the other side of the trade.

For XRP holders, this reads as business diversification rather than a direct catalyst, since the report does not tie it to demand for the token.

XRP Price Prediction: Can XRP Reach $1.61 or Fall to $1.34?

Bullish Case, Target: $1.61

XRP holds the 200-day EMA at $1.3789 and closes a day above the 20-day EMA at $1.4572. That would put the triangle’s upper line near $1.61 in range, with renewed ETF inflows adding support.

Bearish Case, Risk Level: $1.34 (100-Day EMA)

XRP loses the trendline and 200-day EMA near $1.3789, which would put the 100-day EMA at $1.3359 under pressure. A daily close below it would risk a deeper slide, especially if Bitcoin ETF outflows continue.

FAQs: XRP Outlook for October 10, 2026

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