- XRP price prediction stays bullish above $1.2854, needing $1.3434 to challenge the 200-day EMA at $1.3532
- Trader Cryptollica flagged XRP’s two-week RSI at a 13-year low, arguing the drop reflects washed-out sentiment rather than broken structure
- XRP ETFs posted a $5.15 million outflow on September 17, snapping a two-day inflow streak
XRP price prediction for September 19 stays bullish above $1.2854, the 50-day EMA that’s held through this week’s pullback even as one trader flags the most extreme momentum reading in XRP’s history.
XRP Price Analysis: Can XRP Hold Above Its 50-Day EMA?
Not lost yet, XRP is trading right between its nearest support and resistance. XRP trades near $1.3301, up 2.71% today, holding above the 50-day EMA at $1.2854 and the 100-day at $1.2567, keeping the broader structure intact even after early September’s sharp pullback from a high near $1.70.
The resistance overhead is tightly clustered:
- 20-day EMA, $1.3434
- 200-day EMA, $1.3532
- Bollinger midline, $1.3680
A descending trendline connecting the September 7 high down through the past two weeks keeps capping every recovery attempt. Clearing it alongside the 20-day EMA would be the first real sign this bounce has more room to run. The lower Bollinger Band at $1.2767 lines up closely with a support zone that’s held since early September, the level that matters if this bounce fails instead.
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XRP Support and Resistance Levels
| Type | Price |
| Resistance | $1.3434 |
| Resistance | $1.3532 |
| Resistance | $1.3680 |
| Support | $1.2854 |
| Support | $1.2767 |
| Support | $1.2567 |
XRP News: Two-Week RSI Hits a 13-Year Low, According to Trader Cryptollica
Trader Cryptollica said XRP’s two-week RSI has dropped to its lowest reading in the asset’s 13-year history, coming in below three of its worst prior moments:
- 2018’s bear market bottom
- The 2020 pandemic crash
- The 2022 bear market
Despite that, Cryptollica pointed out XRP is still holding above the long-term rising structure that’s carried it through every prior cycle, arguing the extreme reading reflects washed-out sentiment rather than a broken chart.
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The take is a contrarian one, that the market tends to want XRP only once a breakout is already obvious, and today’s bearish mood could flip fast if the structure holds. It’s one trader’s read on an extreme momentum signal, not a confirmed reversal.
XRP Derivatives: Shorts Absorb Nearly All of the Past Hour’s Liquidations
XRP derivatives volume fell 17.18% to $3.89 billion over the past 24 hours, while open interest rose 7.08% to $2.95 billion, traders holding or adding positions even as trading slowed down.
Shorts are taking the brunt of it in every short-term window. Over the past hour they lost $263.90K of $278.76K total, and that same lopsided pattern showed up over four hours and 12 hours too. Traders keep leaning long, Binance’s account ratio sits at 2.6114.
| Metric | Value | What it shows |
| Derivatives volume (24h) | $3.89B, down 17.18% | Trading activity cooled |
| Open interest | $2.95B, up 7.08% | Positions building despite less trading |
| 24h short liquidations | $1.81M of $3.26M total | Shorts took the bigger share of today’s losses |
| Binance long/short ratio | 2.6114 | Traders leaning long |
XRP ETF Flows: A $5.15 Million Outflow Snaps a Two-Day Inflow Streak
US spot XRP ETFs posted a $5.15 million net outflow on September 17, breaking a streak that included a $3.50 million inflow the day before. The timing lines up with XRP’s own price pullback, total net assets across the funds fell to $1.39 billion from $1.58 billion just three days earlier, a drop driven as much by price as by the outflow itself.
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21Shares’ TOXR led the outflow at $3.78 million, and it remains the only one of the five XRP ETFs still net negative since launch, down $21.15 million cumulatively. Bitwise’s fund stays the largest by net assets at $486.87 million. Cumulative inflows across all XRP ETFs still stand at $1.71 billion, so one outflow day hasn’t dented the bigger picture.
XRP Price Prediction: Bullish and Bearish Scenarios
Bullish Case, Target: $1.3680 (Bollinger Basis)
XRP clears $1.3434 and the 200-day EMA at $1.3532. A confirmed break of the descending trendline off the September high, combined with fading short pressure, could open room toward the Bollinger midline at $1.3680.
Bearish Case, Risk Level: $1.2767 (Lower Bollinger Band)
XRP loses the 50-day EMA at $1.2854 and slips toward the lower Bollinger Band at $1.2767. Continued ETF outflows or a failure of the RSI extreme to translate into buying would fit that scenario, exposing the 100-day EMA at $1.2567 next.
FAQs
XRP could extend toward $1.3434 and then the Bollinger midline at $1.3680 if it clears the 200-day EMA at $1.3532. Losing the 50-day EMA at $1.2854 risks a slide toward the lower Bollinger Band at $1.2767.
That’s the claim from trader Cryptollica, who said XRP’s two-week RSI has fallen below levels seen in 2018, the 2020 selloff, and the 2022 bear market. It’s one analyst’s reading of a historically extreme momentum signal, not an independently confirmed record.
Not on the most recent day. US spot XRP ETFs posted a $5.15 million outflow on September 17, snapping a streak that included a $3.50 million inflow the day before, though cumulative inflows remain positive at $1.71 billion.
Mixed but leaning cautious. Open interest has risen even as short sellers took the bulk of losses in every short-term liquidation window, while traders on major exchanges remain net long overall.
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