XRP Price Prediction: Will the Weekly FVG Hold XRP Above $1.09 Into the CLARITY Act Deadline?

• XRP is holding above a weekly fair value gap between $1.05 and $1.10 that has supported price through every June and July test.
• Spot XRP ETFs logged two consecutive positive weeks with $8.15M and $6.78M as total net assets approach the $1B mark.
• Long liquidations hit $3.60M against $136.22K for shorts over 24 hours as top Binance traders hold a 3.14 long/short ratio.

XRP trades at $1.0887 on July 25, compressing directly above the weekly fair value gap that has held as the floor of this entire recovery while the CLARITY Act Senate window closes to its final days before the August 7 recess.

The Weekly Chart Shows XRP Sitting On The Most Important Support Of The Recovery

The weekly chart shows XRP consolidating in a tight range directly above the fair value gap created by the November 2024 rally candle. That gap runs between approximately $1.05 and $1.10, and price has tested its upper boundary multiple times since June without closing below it on a weekly basis. 

A horizontal line from the pre-rally consolidation near $1.05 marks the absolute floor of the FVG, meaning XRP has spent weeks compressing against this structure without either fully rejecting or breaking above it.

The 1-Hour Chart Shows Compression Near The Lower Bollinger Band

The 1-hour chart shows XRP pressing against the lower Bollinger Band at $1.0849 with the midline at $1.0894 and upper band at $1.0939 sitting in a tightly compressed range above.

The Parabolic SAR at $1.0930 is bearish above price on the short-term timeframe, capping the midline. A descending red trendline from the July 22 high near $1.16 has pushed price into the current compression zone, and the lower Bollinger Band has begun to flatten, which historically precedes a volatility expansion in either direction.

What Are The Key Support And Resistance Levels For XRP This Week?

• Support at $1.0849 on the 1-hour lower Bollinger Band and the weekly FVG upper boundary
• Key floor at $1.05 at the weekly FVG lower boundary and the June low near $1
• Resistance at $1.0930 on the hourly Parabolic SAR and $1.0939 on the Bollinger upper band
• Extended resistance at $1.1093 on the daily 20-day EMA and $1.1426 on the 50-day

XRP ETFs Logged Two Consecutive Positive Weeks As Total Assets Approach $1B

Spot XRP ETFs recorded $8.15M in net inflows for the week ending July 24, following $6.78M the prior week. 

Total net assets across all five products now sit at $997.25M, just below the $1B threshold. Cumulative inflows hold at $1.49B with zero daily net inflow recorded on July 24, making the weekly figure the more meaningful number heading into the new week.

What Derivatives Show About Weekend Positioning

Volume fell 26%, and open interest slipped slightly, both pointing to a market sitting still over the weekend rather than adding new positions. 

The one number that stands out is liquidations: longs lost $3.60M over 24 hours against just $136.22K for shorts, meaning the slide from $1.16 to $1.09 flushed out overleveraged buyers rather than attracting new sellers. Top traders on Binance remain net long with a 3.14 ratio on accounts, holding their positions through the weakness rather than exiting.

XRP Price Prediction: Upside and Downside Targets For The Week Ahead

• Upside case: The weekly FVG holds, XRP reclaims the daily 20-day EMA at $1.1093, the CLARITY Act reaches a Senate vote before August 7, and two consecutive weeks of ETF inflows extend into a third toward the 50-day EMA at $1.1426 and the 0.618 Fibonacci at $1.1822.
• Downside case: The weekly FVG upper boundary at $1.10 fails on a weekly close, XRP slides toward the $1.05 lower FVG boundary, and the CLARITY Act stalls past the recess as weekend low volume allows price to test the June lows near $1 before any catalyst arrives.

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