- XRP price prediction for November stays bearish below $1.30, with $1.20 the support to hold
- US spot XRP ETFs took in $18.83M in October, a seventh straight monthly inflow but the smallest of the run
- XRP’s median November return is -5.08%, against a +74.5% average, per CryptoRank data
XRP price prediction for November stays bearish below $1.30, the 20-day average and channel line XRP needs to clear after October’s 16% drop.
XRP Price Analysis: Can XRP Clear $1.30 and Leave Its Channel in November?
XRP stays inside its descending channel until a daily close above $1.30, where the 20-day EMA meets the channel’s upper line. Price is at $1.25, down 0.07% today, below all four daily averages: the 20-day at $1.30, the 100-day at $1.32, the 50-day at $1.34 and the 200-day at $1.36. It bounced on October 30 from a wick low near $1.20, which sits on the channel’s median line.
Activity was muted over the weekend. The Saturday and Sunday candles are small-bodied and held a range of only a few cents around $1.25, and today’s candle is inside the same band, with a range of about 1.8%. MACD is below zero with its line just under the signal line, but the histogram is nearly flat at -0.0032, so selling momentum has eased without reversing.
Related: Ethereum Price Prediction November 2026: Can ETH Reach $2,415 or Fall to $2,170 in November?
XRP looks more likely to trade between $1.20 and $1.30 into mid-month than to clear the channel, and a daily close below $1.20 would put the lower channel line near $1.10 in play.
XRP Support and Resistance Levels, November 2026
| Type | Price | Why it matters |
| Resistance | $1.30 | 20-day EMA, beside the channel’s upper line |
| Resistance | $1.32 | 100-day EMA |
| Resistance | $1.34 | 50-day EMA |
| Support | $1.24 | Today’s low |
| Support | $1.20 | October 30 wick low, on the channel median |
| Support | $1.10 | Channel’s lower line |
US XRP ETFs Post a Seventh Straight Monthly Inflow, but October Was the Smallest
US spot XRP ETFs took in $18.83M in October, their seventh straight monthly inflow. The run began in April and has added about $599.69M. October was the smallest month of the seven, less than a sixth of September’s $121.40M and about a fifth of the seven-month average of $85.67M.
The funds also ran against the other two majors, since Bitcoin ETFs lost $515.03M and Ethereum ETFs lost $1.61B in October. Even so, XRP fell 16% in the month, about the same as ETH’s 16.1%. XRP funds’ total net assets dropped to $1.42B from $1.68B.
| ETF Metric | Value |
| Net flow, October 2026 | +$18.83M |
| Net flow, September 2026 | +$121.40M |
| Net flow, August 2026 | +$159.18M |
| Cumulative net inflow | $1.81B |
| Total net assets | $1.42B |
Xaif Crypto Says Buyers Are Stepping In, but a Reversal Is Not Confirmed
Xaif Crypto (@Xaif_Crypto) said XRP’s cumulative volume delta, which tracks net buying against net selling at market prices, has turned sharply positive after heavy sell-side aggression.
Related: Bitcoin Price Prediction November 2026: Can BTC Reclaim $80,225 as ETF Flows Turn Negative?
He reads that as a short-term bullish shift and says bulls need sustained buying pressure to confirm a reversal. A weekend spent in a narrow band near $1.25 has not provided that yet.
Ripple’s October 28 Swell Announcements Have Not Lifted XRP
Ripple CEO Brad Garlinghouse (@bgarlinghouse) announced four items on October 28 as Ripple opened its Swell conference:
- Robinhood: Ripple’s infrastructure will support Robinhood’s customer-facing services and core financial operations, from RLUSD settlement on the XRP Ledger to prime brokerage and treasury operations.
- BNY: Ripple is expanding its relationship with BNY across custody and tokenized trade finance using RLUSD, XRP and the XRP Ledger.
- Ripple Treasury: A product called 24/7 Returns lets corporates put idle cash to work outside banking hours using stablecoins.
- Trust bank: The OCC granted final approval for Ripple National Trust Bank.
XRP traded near $1.33 on October 28 and is about 6% lower now. The slide came as the wider market sold off after a hack at Binance that affected $6.3 billion of digital assets
XRP Seasonality: November’s Median Is Negative
October 2026 was another weak month for XRP, and its November record is split between huge gains and steady losses.
- October 2026: XRP fell 16%, the fourth-worst October of 14 in CryptoRank’s data and the third red one in a row. Only 5 of the 14 Octobers finished positive.
- November average: The +74.5% average is misleading. It rests on four years: 2013 (+531.9%), 2024 (+281.7%), 2020 (+178.3%) and 2014 (+130.4%). The other nine completed Novembers average about -8.9%.
- November median: The median is -5.08%, and 6 of 13 completed Novembers finished higher.
- After a red October: November fell in five of the eight earlier cases. The three gains were the same three huge years, 2013, 2024 and 2020.
- Midterm years: XRP lost 19.3% in 2018 and 11.8% in 2022, and gained 130.4% in 2014.
A median November would take XRP from $1.25 to about $1.19, right at the October 30 low and the channel’s median line near $1.20. A repeat of the big years would need a catalyst, and none is in view.
XRP Price Prediction: Week-by-Week Forecast for November 2026
The base case has XRP trading in the lower half of its channel, retesting the $1.20 median line once, and ending the month between $1.15 and $1.35.
| Period | Expected range | Key levels | What decides it |
| Nov 2 to 8 | $1.18 to $1.32 | $1.20 support, $1.30 resistance | Whether the quiet weekend range breaks |
| Nov 9 to 15 | $1.15 to $1.32 | $1.20 support, $1.30 resistance | A retest of the median line |
| Nov 16 to 22 | $1.12 to $1.34 | $1.10 support, $1.34 resistance | Whether ETF inflows hold up |
| Nov 23 to 30 | $1.10 to $1.38 | $1.20 support, $1.36 resistance | Direction into month-end |
XRP Price Prediction: Bullish and Bearish Scenarios for November
Bullish Case, Target: $1.36
XRP holds $1.20, closes above the 20-day EMA and channel line at $1.30, then clears the 100-day at $1.32 and the 50-day at $1.34. That would open the 200-day EMA at $1.36 and take price out of the channel. Continued ETF inflows would fit this path.
Bearish Case, Risk Level: $1.10 (Channel Lower Line)
XRP closes below the $1.20 wick low and median line, which would put the channel’s lower line near $1.10 in play. A close below it would expose the round $1.00 level near the August low. ETF inflows drying up would fit this path.
Related: Beam Price Prediction: BEAM Faces Selling Pressure as Open Interest Surges
FAQs
XRP stays bearish below $1.30 and could move toward $1.36 if it closes above the 20-day EMA and channel line and clears the averages at $1.32 and $1.34. A daily close below $1.20 would put the channel’s lower line near $1.10 in play.
November has been lopsided. The median return is -5.08% and 6 of 13 completed Novembers were positive, according to CryptoRank data. The +74.5% average comes from four years between +130.4% and +531.9%, and the other nine completed Novembers average about -8.9%.
Yes. US spot XRP ETFs took in $18.83M in October, their seventh straight monthly inflow, according to SoSoValue. It was the smallest of the seven months, and cumulative net inflows stand at $1.81B.
XRP fell 16% in October and trades below all four daily EMAs inside a descending channel. Fund selling is not the cause, since XRP ETFs took in $18.83M, and none of the data in this analysis points to a single cause.
Disclaimer: The information presented in this article is for informational and educational purposes only. The article does not constitute financial advice or advice of any kind. Coin Edition is not responsible for any losses incurred as a result of the utilization of content, products, or services mentioned. Readers are advised to exercise caution before taking any action related to the company.
